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May 22, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

New data is in....Here is the latest.

Posted: May 22, 2020 9:51 PM
Updated: May 22, 2020 10:49 PM

I have heard from multiple growers that they have lost 30-50% of their fruit crop from the May freeze.  Also, peaches were lost due to shot of brutal cold with lows to -20 in February.  It occurred on a clear, calm night with snow pack.

The damage is becoming more apparent now as warmth advances trees & areas that aren't producing juvenile fruit or foliage show up.

The American Sycamores, Northern Catalpas, Black Locusts & Black Walnuts to some Tuliptrees are still in recovery mode as sprouts of green foliage appears amidst dry, blackened foliage from the freeze.  I have even noticed Eastern Redbud damage not only from the May freeze, but from a hard freeze back in April when they were blooming.  I went to collect seed from a Rock or Hickory Elm (one of the lesser common native elms as American & Slippery Elms are more common & known) a couple of days ago & the freezes cut the seed by an estimated 70%.  Leaves had some damage coinciding with the May freeze.  Then, you have some trees with considerable dead twigs due to it getting way too cold, too fast in early to mid November.  Those twigs were frozen & killed.

My American Sycamore seedlings I were growing were about 7-11" tall & killed to the ground by the November record cold (foliage still green to green-yellow at the time).  They were sprouting from the bases & then burned off by the cold a few weeks back.  I just checked & there are some new buds at the base again, but that make two times being just burnt off or top-killed.

It has been a rather tough year for trees.

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Highs today reached 70-77 over the viewing area.

MCV will pivot through Iowa & northern Illinois to southern Michigan before diminishing tonight through tomorrow to tomorrow night.

With this feature, an isolated shower/storm is possible Saturday morning, followed by a break with partly cloudy skies, very warm, hot & humid weather & southerly winds.  Highs of 84-88 are likely with heat indices 90-95.

Periodic splitting supercell clusters of storms will develop & impact the area in the 4 p.m. to 12 a.m. time frame Saturday.

Scattered severe storms are possible with wind, tornado or two & large hail risk. 

However, the best tornado risk runs from Chicago to Pontiac, Bloomington & Peoria, Illinois.  This higher risk of tornadoes in that area of Illinois will tend to run in the 5-8 p.m. time frame.

We have the risk of a tornado or two, but we will need to closely monitor that area of enhanced tornado risk in east-central to northeastern Illinois.

Upgrade to SLIGHT RISK is likely for the area with possibility of an area of ENHANCED RISK painted for part of the area from northeastern/east-central Illinois.

A couple isolated storms are possible Sunday on the tail end of outflow boundary from MCV-induced storms the night before.  Any storm that develops poses an isolated severe risk, but storm coverage will only run at 25%.  Otherwise expected partly cloudy skies & highs 86-90 with heat indices 90-96.

The big flare-up for severe storms Iowa to Kansas will play a role in the Memorial Day weather.

Scattered storms are possible Tuesday-Saturday of next week with very warm to hot, humid weather.

Severe risk looks low during that period with storms more of the typical garden-variety pulsey multi-cells.  You can't rule out an isolated severe storm with these as they pulse up, belch out their severe gust & hail, then collapse.  You also always watch interactions of outflow boundaries with these storms for random, out-of-nowhere tornado warning.

However, we will watch MCVs from the Plains to see if they get in here & increase the risk for severe.

Next Saturday evening through Sunday look dry & cooler with lows in the 50s & highs in the 70s to 80.

Heat & humidity should return shortly thereafter, however.  Storms with severe risk will also return.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 30901

Reported Deaths: 1964
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9040531
Lake3191167
Cass15796
Allen121365
St. Joseph113234
Hendricks110365
Hamilton109291
Johnson1065102
Elkhart93827
Madison57658
Bartholomew46733
Porter46521
Clark45038
LaPorte38721
Tippecanoe3563
Jackson3531
Howard34417
Delaware34027
Hancock31527
Shelby31121
Floyd31138
Boone27935
Morgan25724
Vanderburgh2402
Decatur22131
White2128
Montgomery21114
Clinton2041
Harrison18321
Grant17820
Noble17420
Dubois1712
Greene16723
Warrick16326
Dearborn16221
Monroe15810
Henry1556
Lawrence14222
Miami1351
Vigo1357
Putnam1297
Jennings1264
Orange12222
Scott1153
Ripley1126
Franklin1068
Carroll882
Daviess8116
Steuben762
Newton7210
Wabash722
Kosciusko711
Wayne665
Marshall611
LaGrange592
Washington521
Jasper521
Fayette504
Fulton461
Rush452
Jefferson411
Jay410
Clay381
Pulaski380
Randolph373
Whitley342
Brown331
Sullivan311
Starke303
Owen301
DeKalb281
Knox240
Benton240
Crawford230
Perry230
Huntington222
Tipton221
Wells220
Switzerland190
Blackford191
Fountain172
Parke170
Posey170
Spencer141
Gibson132
Ohio130
Adams121
Warren121
Martin100
Union80
Vermillion80
Pike50
Unassigned0152
West Lafayette
Clear
88° wxIcon
Hi: 88° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 91°
Kokomo
Clear
85° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 87°
Rensselaer
Clear
88° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 88°
Fowler
Clear
88° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 88°
Williamsport
Scattered Clouds
85° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 88°
Crawfordsville
Scattered Clouds
83° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 85°
Frankfort
Scattered Clouds
86° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 89°
Delphi
Clear
84° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 85°
Monticello
Clear
84° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 85°
Logansport
Clear
86° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 87°
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