May 22, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

Severe risk early Thursday morning.

Posted: May 22, 2019 9:58 PM
Updated: May 23, 2019 5:09 PM

Highs today ran 75-84 with dew points rising to 64-68 for a good chunk of the area.

SLIGHT RISK of severe weather early Thursday night for scattered severe gusts, isolated brief tornado or two, isolated large hail possible.

Tornado Watch will likely be issued for the area, especially given strong low-level jet likely to persist into the late night.

Storms will tend to congeal into a  line.  A couple/few nodes &/or small supercells &/or LEWPs (S shapes) are possible embedded in the line.

It will be a fast-mover with much of it passing west to east in the viewing area 3-6 a.m., though I have 1-8 a.m. time frame for rain overall.

Looks like it will affect the entire viewing area with rain & storms.

Storms will race through at 50-60 mph, keeping rainfall totals mostly near 0.50" or a bit less.  A few places will get more.

Rest of tomorrow looks good with sun/clouds, windy conditions, warm & humid highs of 79-85.

A few isolated storms are possible early Friday morning with an isolated severe storm or two possible.

The afternoon looks good with sun/clouds, breezy & humid conditions & 81-88.

A few storms are possible Saturday pm with 80s & high humidity,

Outflow boundary from all of the storms lined up well to our west & northwest will likely serve as a trigger for 30-35% coverage.

Here they are lined up west & northwest of us Saturday morning while we are dry, breezy, warm & muggy.

This looks followed by a greater number of storms Sunday & perhaps a couple of waves of them (50% coverage) with highs upper 70s to lower 80s.

Monday & Tuesday still looks dry, windy & warm with 80s, followed by storms Wednesday & 80s.

We cool the 70s with dry weather & lower humidity next Thursday.

At this point, next is looking okay with sun/clouds & 70s warming to 80s.  Next decent potential of storms ofter Wednesday is June 2 at the moment.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 34830

Reported Deaths: 2143
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9900581
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Johnson1115109
Madison59359
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Floyd31839
Boone31535
Vanderburgh2822
Morgan28024
Montgomery24517
Noble23721
White2378
Clinton2331
Decatur22431
Grant21323
Dubois1993
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Henry18411
Greene16925
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Warrick16628
Monroe16612
Lawrence16524
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Miami1401
Putnam1377
Jennings1304
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Scott1203
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Franklin1108
Ripley1096
Carroll932
Daviess9216
Wayne855
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Steuben842
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Sullivan361
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Brown331
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West Lafayette
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