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May 22, 1 PM Weather Forecast Update

Some storms (severe severe risk) with warm to very warm & humid to muggy weather.

Posted: May 22, 2019 12:50 PM
Updated: May 22, 2019 1:19 PM

Storms should fire along & south of the front tonight & move eastward, affecting the viewing area 1-7 a.m.

A few severe storms are possible with mainly a wind risk, followed by hail risk, & the risk of an isolated brief tornado.

Since it is happening overnight when many of your are sleeping, just remain weather aware!

After that, it looks dry, humid to muggy, windy & warm Thursday with sun/clouds & highs in the 80s.

SPC has us in MARGINAL RISK for overnight-Thursday morning, but the parameters are suggesting SLIGHT RISK sneaking into part of our viewing area.

A few storms are possible Friday morning (isolated severe storm possible), followed by sun/clouds, windy & very warm to hot, humid to muggy weather with highs in the 80s to 90.  Heat indices may run 89-94.

It looks very warm & muggy with breezy to windy conditions right to next week.  Highs will run in the 80s most days with lows in the 60s to 70.

A few storms are possible Saturday & Sunday p.m. with isolated severe risk.

Monday & Tuesday look dry.

More widespread rain & storms are possible Wednesday with severe risk.

Mainly dry May 30-June 1, then some storms with perhaps severe risk June 2.

Temperatures continue to look above normal for the period overall, though it will turn just slightly cooler & less humid briefly late next week.

A few storms are possible around June 5, followed by dry pattern up to June 10.

Note potential early-season tropical system in Gulf of Mexico. 

You often have early-season development in the Gulf of Mexico in traditional El Ninos, but Atlantic & Caribbean development is supressed during much of the season.

The eastern Pacific tends to have lots of activity & we see a lot more rainfall in the southwestern U.S. as a result during traditional El Ninos.  This often translates to heavy rainfall in the Rockies, Plains & parts of the Midwest in the late summer.

Total rainfall now to early June is expected to run around 1.70-3.25" over the viewing area.  Normal is 1.80-2.40".

Heaviest rainfall should occur over Iowa, Missouri & western Illinois with up to 10" with widespread flooding expected.

Article Comments

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Wet and Windy Start to Week.
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