May 19, 3 PM Weather Forecast Update

Black Locust Winter, Then Back to Summer

Posted: May 20, 2019 2:42 PM
Updated: May 20, 2019 8:51 PM

We are in Black Locust winter today, which is a typically cool period in May that occurs with blossoming of the Black Locust & Tuliptrees.

Temperatures are 52-60 over the viewing area as of 2:30 p.m.

Lake breeze front is enhancing the chill & cloudiness, especially in the northern 2/3 of the viewing area with the northwest to north wind.

However, as quickly as we chill behind cold front & lake breeze front, both work back northward.......gradually.

Warm front moving northward will bring cool showers with east winds late tonight & tomorrow morning to midday (this is actually remnants of MAJOR Plains severe weather outbreak this afternoon-evening). 

Lows tonight will level off in the mid to upper 40s, followed by 50s area-wide up to midday tomorrow.

So, as quickly as these low clouds erode, high & mid clouds will increase & thicken, followed by some wet weather as the front lifts back northward. 

50s may be with much of the area for the day, even with the rain tapering.  The warm front may finally make it to our southern counties by late afternoon with 70-72 in the far south, near 59 at Greater Lafayette & steady low to mid 50s north.

Winds will be strong from the east (turning to southeast far south).

Tomorrow:

11 p.m.-7 a.m.:

8 a.m.-2 p.m.:

South of a Fowler to Frankfort line, temperatures may rise tomorrow night as the warm front gets northward a bit more.  Thing is, Lake Erie front & Lake Michigan lake breeze front may form a solid mass of cold air from northeastern Indiana to northern Illinois, impeding warm front movement northward.

That said, areas north of that line may stay cool at 50-55 tomorrow night with 60s to 70 south.

The remnants of severe weather outbreak from Oklahoma, Kansas & Missouri to Illinois will pass 2-7 a.m. early Wednesday morning.

Along & south of the warm front, a couple/few isolated severe storms are possible, but majority of severe weather looks to stay in Illinois, southwestward through Missouri.

Storms look to weaken with eastward movement as they encounter cooler, more stable air with thinning ribbon of instability in the troposphere that will become completely elevated (layer of unstable air atop a cool, shallow, stable layer nearer to the surface). Also, they will outrun better dynamics & strong low-level jet.

So, isolated severe risk should be confined to Benton, Tippecanoe, western Clinton, Montgomery, Fountain & Warren counties, it appears.

Warm front jets way northward Wednesday with the return of summer!

Winds will be strong from the southwest with highs 83-88 with increasing humidity!

It looks windy & very warm right to early next week with highs in the 80s to 90 & lows in the 60s to 70.

A few storms will flirt with us at times, but the main risk of widespread storms & severe weather risk is next Tuesday or Wednesday.

Lafayette
Clear
32° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 31°
Feels Like: 32°
Kokomo
Clear
30° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 30°
Feels Like: 25°
Rensselaer
Clear
30° wxIcon
Hi: 43° Lo: 29°
Feels Like: 30°
Lafayette
Partly Cloudy
32° wxIcon
Hi: 43° Lo: 30°
Feels Like: 32°
Danville
Partly Cloudy
32° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 31°
Feels Like: 26°
Frankfort
Partly Cloudy
30° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 31°
Feels Like: 25°
Frankfort
Partly Cloudy
30° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 30°
Feels Like: 25°
Monticello
Clear
28° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 29°
Feels Like: 28°
Monticello
Partly Cloudy
28° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 31°
Feels Like: 28°
Logansport
Clear
32° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 30°
Feels Like: 32°
Mild Conditions Continue Wednesday
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Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 657037

Reported Deaths: 12450
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion901321624
Lake48105871
Allen35552632
Hamilton31839393
St. Joseph29538510
Elkhart25261412
Vanderburgh21115377
Tippecanoe19765197
Johnson16242352
Porter15838267
Hendricks15723296
Clark11843179
Madison11672314
Vigo11503228
Monroe10248158
Delaware9788178
LaPorte9720194
Howard9017194
Kosciusko8514107
Bartholomew7373147
Warrick7369146
Hancock7362128
Floyd7139164
Wayne6586188
Grant6395157
Morgan6040124
Boone603388
Dubois5868111
Dearborn540266
Henry539492
Marshall5390104
Cass537199
Noble506775
Jackson462063
Shelby458490
Lawrence4154111
Gibson399681
Harrison395160
Clinton392353
DeKalb382078
Montgomery381583
Knox354484
Miami354063
Whitley346235
Huntington338176
Steuben335955
Wabash328775
Putnam325959
Ripley325161
Adams320249
Jasper312943
White295351
Jefferson292770
Daviess284296
Fayette270255
Decatur269388
Greene259978
Posey259731
Wells255374
Scott248446
LaGrange240170
Clay238944
Randolph225076
Spencer215830
Jennings213544
Washington207727
Sullivan202038
Fountain200341
Starke185950
Owen181652
Jay177328
Fulton176437
Carroll175618
Perry172435
Orange170450
Rush163922
Franklin158335
Vermillion158040
Tipton145441
Parke137915
Pike127232
Blackford120027
Pulaski105643
Newton96431
Brown94639
Benton91113
Crawford90113
Martin80114
Switzerland7507
Warren74612
Union66810
Ohio52711
Unassigned0425

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