Scenario #2 is playing out.
Weaking band of rainfall this morning, then break with sun (with warm-up & southwest winds 20-45 mph), then new development this afternoon-evening with SLIGHT RISK of severe.
Band of rain in our area should re-organize a squall line east of our area from eastern Michigan to Kentucky in the sun & warmth.
Much cooler air will arrive tonight with 40s to 50, followed by 58-70 for highs tomorrow from north to sun with partly cloudy skies & brisk winds from the northwest to north, then northeast.
Warm front will move back north Tuesday with best severe risk Tuesday night west of here, but we may get in on some at least after 10 p.m. to 6 a.m.
Wednesday-next Sunday looks very warm, humid, windy & mostly dry (few storms possible Thursday) with highs 80s to 90 & lows 60s to 70.
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- May 19 Severe Weather Updates
- April 19, 1:45 PM Weather Forecast Update
- April 19, 10:30 PM Weather Forecast Update