May 17, 5 PM Weather Forecast Update

Tracking line of storms with Slight Risk of severe weather.

Posted: May 17, 2020 4:40 PM
Updated: May 17, 2020 4:56 PM

Slight Risk continues....

We are watching line of storms developing central & southern Illinois to Tennessee moving northeastward toward our area.

Ahead of it, band of sunshine with temperatures surging to the upper 70s to 80 & dew points of 66-70 are occurring from southern Illinois & southwestern Indiana to near Terre Haute.

Here, line should pass in the general 6-10 p.m. time frame with risk of a couple severe gusts & a couple/few brief EF0-EF1 tornadoes.

This is due to presence of strong wind fields in the lowest 10,000' with a wind shift noted in the lowest 6000' with low LCLs (cloud bases) in very moist environment with up to 1200 J/kg of surface CAPE & ML CAPE to 1000 J/kg.

The more sun in that band, the more the risk of a severe storm.

Looks like a QLCS squall line with a few nodes, "dog legs" & LEWPs in it ("S"-shapes).

Much more sun would result in a higher severe weather risk.

SPC has indicated that a watch is possible for the area.

West Lafayette
Overcast
43° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 39°
Kokomo
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43° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 39°
Rensselaer
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37° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 30°
Feels Like: 37°
Fowler
Overcast
37° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 37°
Williamsport
Overcast
38° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 33°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
44° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 39°
Frankfort
Overcast
44° wxIcon
Hi: 47° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 39°
Delphi
Overcast
43° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 39°
Monticello
Overcast
41° wxIcon
Hi: 42° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 41°
Logansport
Overcast
41° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 41°
More rainfall ahead.
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