May 17, 5 PM Weather Forecast Update

Tracking line of storms with Slight Risk of severe weather.

Posted: May 17, 2020 4:40 PM
Updated: May 17, 2020 4:56 PM

Slight Risk continues....

We are watching line of storms developing central & southern Illinois to Tennessee moving northeastward toward our area.

Ahead of it, band of sunshine with temperatures surging to the upper 70s to 80 & dew points of 66-70 are occurring from southern Illinois & southwestern Indiana to near Terre Haute.

Here, line should pass in the general 6-10 p.m. time frame with risk of a couple severe gusts & a couple/few brief EF0-EF1 tornadoes.

This is due to presence of strong wind fields in the lowest 10,000' with a wind shift noted in the lowest 6000' with low LCLs (cloud bases) in very moist environment with up to 1200 J/kg of surface CAPE & ML CAPE to 1000 J/kg.

The more sun in that band, the more the risk of a severe storm.

Looks like a QLCS squall line with a few nodes, "dog legs" & LEWPs in it ("S"-shapes).

Much more sun would result in a higher severe weather risk.

SPC has indicated that a watch is possible for the area.

West Lafayette
Clear
80° wxIcon
Hi: 88° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 85°
Kokomo
Clear
79° wxIcon
Hi: 85° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 82°
Rensselaer
Clear
79° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 82°
Fowler
Clear
79° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 82°
Williamsport
Scattered Clouds
79° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 83°
Crawfordsville
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 72°
Frankfort
Broken Clouds
74° wxIcon
Hi: 85° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 74°
Delphi
Scattered Clouds
78° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 81°
Monticello
Scattered Clouds
78° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 81°
Logansport
Clear
79° wxIcon
Hi: 85° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 82°
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