May 16, 12 PM Weather Forecast Update

Your summer-like forecast is up!

Posted: May 16, 2021 11:11 AM
Updated: May 16, 2021 12:25 PM

Lows this morning ran 51-55.  Temperatures as of 12:15 p.m. are running 67-73 over the viewing area.

With sun & clouds, highs today should run 74-79. 

It will become cloudy this evening & rain & a few storms are likely tonight after 10 p.m.

Lows tonight of 57-64 are likely tonight.

Rain will roll on into tomorrow morning & then lull a bit by late morning & midday. 

Winds will be strong from the southeast at 15-30 mph with highs Monday reaching 66-75 (trimmed back given the clouds & rainfall around).

Humid dew points of 65-70 will occur.

Break may linger into early afternoon, but more rainfall & embedded storms are likely.  We need to watch for risk of an isolated severe storm to occur in our far southern counties in the evening.

Rainfall will continue into tomorrow night.

The rainfall will taper Tuesday morning, but some additional scattered showers & storms may pop Tuesday afternoon with south-southeast winds 12-25 mph.

Highs of 74-80 are expected with humid dew points of 66-71.

Locally-heavy rainfall is likely in the tonight-Tuesday period with totals of 1.25-4.5" possible.

Local flash flooding & creeks, stream & river rises are expected.

Wednesday looks windy with south winds to 35 mph & high humidity after a couple of passing storms possible in the morning.  Tropical air blowing over water-logged ground will make for a muggy day!  With sunshine & clouds, highs of 83-88 are expected with dew points of 69-75.  Heat indices of 88-97 are expected.

Storms with severe weather risk should stay west of our area.

Thursday looks windy & mostly dry, other than an isolated storm with south winds to 33 mph with highs 88-91 with heat indices 92-98.

Friday looks windy with sunshine & south winds to 37 mph.  An isolated storm is possible, otherwise it looks dry.  Highs of 88-92 are likely with heat indices 92-100.

Rounds & rounds of severe weather will occur Manitoba to Colorado, Kansas & Oklahoma then northward to Minnesota & Wisconsin mid to late next week.

It does appear with may get skimmed by a few to some scattered storms Saturday evening & Sunday afternoon-evening of next weekend with some severe risk.  This, after highs of 88-92 those days with heat indices of 92-100.  Winds will continue to be strong with south to southwest winds to 37 mph.

Overnight lows next week as a whole will run in the 60s to 70, then near 70 to the mid 70s by late week & next weekend.

Main squall line of storms does not look to pass until Monday, May 24 evening-night.

Severe weather is expected with the line given 95- to 100-knot jet streak crossing the area & deep-layer CAPE with ample shear & wind fields for a robust line.

Unidirectional wind fields support more of a wind threat.

Parameters suggest ENHANCED RISK for severe. 

A quick 1" of rainfall is possible.

Brief period of more comfortable weather is likely with highs in the 70s. 

Heat then builds back in with summer 90 to the 90s with high humidity.

Severe weather risk returns around June 1 after a potential big outbreak in the Plains around May 30 or 31.

June still looks hotter than normal:

June looks drier than normal here overall amidst a belt of dryness from Nebraska to Iowa & Wisconsin, then northern half of Indiana, Ohio to Michigan & then across Northeast. 

We play our cards right with timing of storms & the crops will be ok with the heat, but some bouts of heat & dry weather stress could still develop at times.

Wetter than normal northwest & southwest & south of our area:

West Lafayette
Clear
84° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 82°
Kokomo
Clear
79° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 79°
Rensselaer
Clear
75° wxIcon
Hi: 77° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 75°
Fowler
Clear
84° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 82°
Williamsport
Clear
81° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 80°
Crawfordsville
Clear
79° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 60°
Feels Like: 79°
Frankfort
Clear
79° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 61°
Feels Like: 79°
Delphi
Clear
78° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 78°
Monticello
Clear
78° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 78°
Logansport
Clear
77° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 62°
Feels Like: 78°
Beautiful Week Ahead. Cooler, drier and less humid.
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Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 749097

Reported Deaths: 13745
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1030271775
Lake554211006
Allen41613691
St. Joseph36933564
Hamilton36505416
Elkhart29347459
Tippecanoe22849225
Vanderburgh22540400
Porter19313325
Johnson18386387
Hendricks17583317
Clark13190193
Madison13111344
Vigo12602253
LaPorte12385221
Monroe12152175
Delaware10947197
Howard10250225
Kosciusko9609119
Hancock8541144
Bartholomew8158157
Warrick7854156
Floyd7763180
Grant7227179
Wayne7154201
Boone6911103
Morgan6735141
Dubois6211118
Marshall6205116
Cass5989108
Henry5893108
Dearborn588878
Noble579786
Jackson508374
Shelby500697
Lawrence4727121
Gibson444093
Harrison440473
Clinton439855
DeKalb438585
Montgomery433890
Whitley405642
Huntington402181
Steuben398659
Miami392568
Jasper386254
Knox375690
Putnam371860
Wabash360583
Ripley346470
Adams344955
Jefferson335685
White329753
Daviess3028100
Wells294881
Decatur289992
Greene286385
Fayette284664
Posey273735
LaGrange272872
Scott269855
Clay265448
Randolph244683
Washington244534
Jennings235149
Spencer234131
Starke227558
Fountain218347
Sullivan213943
Owen210858
Fulton201542
Jay200832
Carroll193420
Orange188055
Perry186937
Rush175626
Vermillion173544
Franklin170135
Tipton165746
Parke148916
Pike137934
Blackford136032
Pulaski120047
Newton112636
Brown103943
Crawford102316
Benton100814
Martin91415
Warren83515
Switzerland8098
Union72810
Ohio57811
Unassigned0421

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