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May 15, 5:30 PM Weather Forecast Update on Severe Risk

Bouts of severe weather will occur now to next Thursday with lots of warm, windy, dry time in-between. With some new data in, let's dig into the set-ups & what to expect.

Posted: May 15, 2019 4:16 PM
Updated: May 15, 2019 5:37 PM

I am growing a bit concerned about tomorrow & severe risk. 

One, it appears that a small cluster of storms or a supercell t'storm will develop in northeastern Illinois & then ride a geopotential height gradient along the warm front right into part of our area.

With good dynamics, high shear & unstable environment, all severe threat (other than flooding) are on the table with this cluster or supercell storm.

The EXACT TRACK is in question, but where it does track, it could pose a wind, tornado & large hail risk.

Overnight Thursday to early Friday morning features cluster of storms moving in & then collapsing over the area.

MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK is up.

Cooler north, very warm south Friday..............dynamics do not look as great Friday, but still enough for a few storms in the north.

MARGINAL RISK is up for the north & northeast Friday near warm front, outflow boundary & lake breeze front boundaries.

Saturday is dry, windy, very warm & humid with highs 83-88 after morning lows 62-70 & then lows Saturday night 65-70.

Severe risk is up Sunday p.m. still with highs in the 80s.

Monday looks dry with highs 70s to lower 80s.

Wave of storms with severe weather is possible Tuesday afternoon-evening with highs near 80 to the 80s.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 30901

Reported Deaths: 1964
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9040531
Lake3191167
Cass15796
Allen121365
St. Joseph113234
Hendricks110365
Hamilton109291
Johnson1065102
Elkhart93827
Madison57658
Bartholomew46733
Porter46521
Clark45038
LaPorte38721
Tippecanoe3563
Jackson3531
Howard34417
Delaware34027
Hancock31527
Shelby31121
Floyd31138
Boone27935
Morgan25724
Vanderburgh2402
Decatur22131
White2128
Montgomery21114
Clinton2041
Harrison18321
Grant17820
Noble17420
Dubois1712
Greene16723
Warrick16326
Dearborn16221
Monroe15810
Henry1556
Lawrence14222
Miami1351
Vigo1357
Putnam1297
Jennings1264
Orange12222
Scott1153
Ripley1126
Franklin1068
Carroll882
Daviess8116
Steuben762
Newton7210
Wabash722
Kosciusko711
Wayne665
Marshall611
LaGrange592
Washington521
Jasper521
Fayette504
Fulton461
Rush452
Jefferson411
Jay410
Clay381
Pulaski380
Randolph373
Whitley342
Brown331
Sullivan311
Starke303
Owen301
DeKalb281
Knox240
Benton240
Crawford230
Perry230
Huntington222
Tipton221
Wells220
Switzerland190
Blackford191
Fountain172
Parke170
Posey170
Spencer141
Gibson132
Ohio130
Adams121
Warren121
Martin100
Union80
Vermillion80
Pike50
Unassigned0152
West Lafayette
Scattered Clouds
78° wxIcon
Hi: 88° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 80°
Kokomo
Clear
78° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 80°
Rensselaer
Scattered Clouds
75° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 75°
Fowler
Scattered Clouds
75° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 75°
Williamsport
Scattered Clouds
70° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 70°
Crawfordsville
Scattered Clouds
66° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 66°
Frankfort
Broken Clouds
70° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 70°
Delphi
Clear
74° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 74°
Monticello
Clear
74° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 74°
Logansport
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 73°
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