The normal last 36 in our viewing area is May 1-7.
However, just when you think we might be finished with 36, here we were the morning with a band of 36 from Grissom Air Reserve Base, through Logansport, Monticello to West Lafayette.
Highs today reached 66-72, however.
The normal first occurrence of reaching 85 in our viewing area is around mid-May.
Covington has hit 84, so far, but not quite to 85.
This surge of summer warmth normally triggers the Tuliptrees & Black Locusts, as well as the irises to full bloom in May. This seems to be the last warm push of spring to get the trees to full summer foliation.
Some locations like Winamac, Rochester, Peru, Bunker Hill (Grissom) & around Kokomo have yet to hit 80 (though they have been close at 77-79).
This year's first 80 in those areas will be about 3-3.5 weeks later than normal. These areas should get to & even exceed 80 on Friday.
Spotty showers/t'showers southwest half early Wednesday morning.
Lows 43 northeast to 54 southwest & near 48 at Greater Lafayette.
Rest of day will be clouds/sun day with 67-75 & a few isolated showers.
A few isolated showers/storms are possible Thursday with 76-83.
Risk of an isolated severe storm or two as a couple of clusters of storms side-swipe us Thursday night-early Friday morning. These clusters will tend to ride warm front/near warm front.
One of them early in the night or in the evening Thursday:
The other one as it may appear around 3 a.m.:
Looks like this second one will collapse pretty quickly once it moves into our north.
This is how it should look at 7 a.m. Friday morning:
Rest of Friday looks dry with 80-84 & humid weather as dew points rise to 65-70.
There may be a lot of debri cloudiness through Friday morning, but clouds should thin nicely by afternoon with a strong southwest wind, warmth & the highest dew points of 2019 so far.
Saturday is very warm to hot & humid with 84-88, then storms Sunday pm with some severe risk & 80s. It will be windy & humid.
Monday's dry with 74-82 with partly cloudy skies.
There are signs tonight & several changes that may be underway regarding timing of storms & severe risk next week.
Tonight, there is some growing consensus of the storm & severe risks of Tuesday & Thursday sort of consolidating into two rounds of storms with severe risk Wednesday.
This would mean Tuesday, Thursday, Friday to NEXT Sunday could end up DRY, WINDY, HOT & HUMID.
Before altering the forecast to shift this timing, I'd like to get more rounds of model data under my belt.
Regardless, be aware of an increased severe risk next week, as well as Sunday..............& risk of isolated severe Thursday night-early Friday morning.
- March 14, 2 PM Weather Forecast Update
- June 14, 5 PM Weather Forecast Update
- December 14, 2 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 14, 7 PM Weather Forecast Update
- April 14, 12 PM Weather Forecast Update
- May 14, 10:30 PM Weather Forecast Update
- June 14, 10:30 PM Weather Forecast Update
- November 14, 1:30 PM Weather Forecast Update
- January 14, 8:30 PM Weather Forecast Update
- August 14, 11 PM Weather Update