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May 14, 10:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest on the timing of summer-like warmth & humidity & bouts of storms (with dry days in-between) with severe weather risk.

Posted: May 14, 2019 9:25 PM
Updated: May 14, 2019 10:57 PM

The normal last 36 in our viewing area is May 1-7.

However, just when you think we might be finished with 36, here we were the morning with a band of 36 from Grissom Air Reserve Base, through Logansport, Monticello to West Lafayette.

Highs today reached 66-72, however.

The normal first occurrence of reaching 85 in our viewing area is around mid-May.

Covington has hit 84, so far, but not quite to 85.

This surge of summer warmth normally triggers the Tuliptrees & Black Locusts, as well as the irises to full bloom in May.  This seems to be the last warm push of spring to get the trees to full summer foliation.

Some locations like Winamac, Rochester, Peru, Bunker Hill (Grissom) & around Kokomo have yet to hit 80 (though they have been close at 77-79).

This year's first 80 in those areas will be about 3-3.5 weeks later than normal.  These areas should get to & even exceed 80 on Friday.

So.................

Spotty showers/t'showers southwest half early Wednesday morning.

Lows 43 northeast to 54 southwest & near 48 at Greater Lafayette.

Rest of day will be clouds/sun day with 67-75 & a few isolated showers.

A few isolated showers/storms are possible Thursday with 76-83.

Risk of an isolated severe storm or two as a couple of clusters of storms side-swipe us Thursday night-early Friday morning.  These clusters will tend to ride warm front/near warm front.

One of them early in the night or in the evening Thursday:

The other one as it may appear around 3 a.m.:

Looks like this second one will collapse pretty quickly once it moves into our north.

This is how it should look at 7 a.m. Friday morning:

Rest of Friday looks dry with 80-84 & humid weather as dew points rise to 65-70.

There may be a lot of debri cloudiness through Friday morning, but clouds should thin nicely by afternoon with a strong southwest wind, warmth & the highest dew points of 2019 so far. 

Saturday is very warm to hot & humid with 84-88, then storms Sunday pm with some severe risk & 80s.  It will be windy & humid.

Monday's dry with 74-82 with partly cloudy skies.

There are signs tonight & several changes that may be underway regarding timing of storms & severe risk next week.

Tonight, there is some growing consensus of the storm & severe risks of Tuesday & Thursday sort of consolidating into two rounds of storms with severe risk Wednesday.

This would mean Tuesday, Thursday, Friday to NEXT Sunday could end up DRY, WINDY, HOT & HUMID.

Before altering the forecast to shift this timing, I'd like to get more rounds of model data under my belt.

Regardless, be aware of an increased severe risk next week, as well as Sunday..............& risk of isolated severe Thursday night-early Friday morning.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 33068

Reported Deaths: 2068
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9524558
Lake3494175
Cass15897
Allen141966
St. Joseph122134
Hendricks114268
Hamilton113292
Elkhart110128
Johnson1092106
Madison58459
Porter50522
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Clark47941
LaPorte42022
Tippecanoe3823
Howard37824
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Hancock32727
Floyd31739
Boone30535
Morgan27724
Vanderburgh2592
Montgomery23417
White2308
Decatur22431
Clinton2221
Noble20421
Grant19721
Dubois1903
Harrison18921
Henry16910
Greene16824
Monroe16512
Warrick16528
Dearborn16521
Vigo1538
Lawrence15223
Miami1401
Putnam1357
Jennings1294
Orange12422
Scott1203
Ripley1106
Franklin1098
Kosciusko1011
Carroll933
Daviess8416
Steuben812
Marshall801
Newton7610
Wayne756
Fayette747
Wabash742
LaGrange682
Jasper661
Washington511
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Jefferson431
Pulaski410
Whitley383
Owen351
Sullivan341
DeKalb331
Brown331
Starke323
Perry280
Wells270
Benton260
Huntington262
Knox250
Tipton241
Crawford230
Blackford222
Parke190
Spencer191
Switzerland190
Fountain182
Posey160
Gibson142
Adams131
Ohio130
Warren121
Vermillion100
Martin90
Union80
Pike60
Unassigned0161
West Lafayette
Overcast
68° wxIcon
Hi: 77° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 68°
Kokomo
Overcast
64° wxIcon
Hi: 73° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 64°
Rensselaer
Overcast
59° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 59°
Fowler
Overcast
59° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 59°
Williamsport
Broken Clouds
64° wxIcon
Hi: 76° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 64°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
62° wxIcon
Hi: 75° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 62°
Frankfort
Overcast
66° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 66°
Delphi
Overcast
64° wxIcon
Hi: 75° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 64°
Monticello
Overcast
64° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 64°
Logansport
Overcast
64° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 64°
Cooler, less humid weather ahead by the weekend.
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