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May 10, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

From rain to fog & frost & big warm-up with severe weather risk....

Posted: May 10, 2021 7:44 PM
Updated: May 10, 2021 11:01 PM

Lows Monday morning dropped to 33-37.

Comparison to typical last 32:

Comparison to typical last 36:

Comparison to typical last 40:

Highs this Monday reached 57-66.

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Latest river stage information (creeks are or have crested)....

The Flood Warning continues for
the Wabash River at Lafayette.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 10:30 AM EDT Monday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:30 AM EDT Monday was 15.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 18.0 feet just after midnight
tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late Thursday morning
to 10.1 feet and begin rising again Thursday evening. It will rise
to 10.5 feet early Friday afternoon. It will then fall again and
remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Extensive flooding covers many acres of
agricultural land. State Road 225 closed by high water. Granville
Bridge Public Access Site flooded. Tippecanoe CR 950 W south of CR
75 S floods in several places from the Wabash Bottoms, Janssen
Tract to Warren CR 350 N in the Black Rock Preserve Area, a
distance of nearly 1.5 miles. High water affects Fort Ouiatenon
area. All parks in the West Lafayette and Lafayette areas are
flooded. High water almost on North River Road.

The Flood Warning continues for
the Wabash River at Covington.
* From this morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At 10:45 AM EDT Monday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 10:45 AM EDT Monday was 16.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.0 feet
early Wednesday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Lanes to river residences west of South
River Road south of Covington flooded. Sandhill Road at Mud Run
just northeast of Covington begins to flood. Extensive lowland
flooding in progress. Higher bottomlands flood.

The Flood Advisory continues for
the Iroquois River at Iroquois.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Action stage is 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.0 feet
early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Agricultural areas near the river begin to
flood.

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Any scattered showers/t'showers will depart the viewing area by 3 a.m. tonight, some clearing will follow.

Lows tonight should run 33-39 (38 Greater Lafayette) with coldest temperatures in the north & northwest with some patchy frost & patchy fog possible (unless the northeast wind stays kicked more than what is currently anticipated).

Highs Tuesday should reach 59-66 with partly cloudy skies & northeast to east-northeast wind increasing to 13-25 mph.

Areas of frost with patchy fog are likely tomorrow night with lows 32-36 (36 Greater Lafayette) with mostly clear to clear skies & winds becoming light to calm.  Temperatures will be the coldest in the north & northeast).

Frost Advisory is likely.  Make preparations to cover sensitive plants.

Wednesday looks mostly sunny to sunny, then partly cloudy with east-northeast to east wind increasing to 13-25 mph & highs 62-69 (67 Greater Lafayette).

After 37-43 Wednesday night, Thursday looks mostly sunny with east winds & highs 65-70 (68 Greater Lafayette).

Lows Thursday night should drop to 39-46.

Friday should feature mostly sunny skies with south wind & highs 68-76 (75 Greater Lafayette).

Lows of 45-53 (51 Greater Lafayette) should follow.

As for Saturday, clouds will increase with south wind becoming southeast to south-southeast with highs 69-76 (75 Greater Lafayette), followed by lows of 51-57 Saturday night as skies becoming mostly cloudy.

With front stalled to our northwest & north Sunday-Wednesday, multiple waves of showers & storms, especially in our northwestern & northern counties (best coverage there).

Highs will run in the 70s to 80s with lows in the 60s to 70.

Winds will be strong from the south & south-southwest at 20-35 mph.

It looks like several periods of MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK.

It will feel like summer with 80s & dew points to 60s to 70s!

CIPS analog probability of 10 or more severe weather reports within 68 miles of a point Sunday-Wednesday:

CIPS analog probability of at least tornado within 68 miles of a point:

Locally-heavy rainfall is possible:

Main severe weather risk period is shaping up for May 20 or 21.

Parameters suggest up to ENHANCED RISK.

Locally heavy total rainfall Sunday to next Thursday or Friday should run 2-5" (heaviest northwest & north).

May 20-21:

CIPS analog probability of 10 or more reports of severe weather within 68 miles of a point:

CIPS analog probability of at least 1 tornado within 68 miles of a point:

Locally-heavy rainfall is possible:

West Lafayette
Clear
86° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 84°
Kokomo
Partly Cloudy
81° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 81°
Rensselaer
Clear
75° wxIcon
Hi: 77° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 75°
Fowler
Clear
86° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 84°
Williamsport
Clear
83° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 81°
Crawfordsville
Clear
81° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 60°
Feels Like: 80°
Frankfort
Clear
81° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 61°
Feels Like: 80°
Delphi
Clear
80° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 79°
Monticello
Clear
80° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 79°
Logansport
Clear
79° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 62°
Feels Like: 79°
Beautiful Week Ahead. Cooler, drier and less humid.
WLFI Temps
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Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 749097

Reported Deaths: 13745
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1030271775
Lake554211006
Allen41613691
St. Joseph36933564
Hamilton36505416
Elkhart29347459
Tippecanoe22849225
Vanderburgh22540400
Porter19313325
Johnson18386387
Hendricks17583317
Clark13190193
Madison13111344
Vigo12602253
LaPorte12385221
Monroe12152175
Delaware10947197
Howard10250225
Kosciusko9609119
Hancock8541144
Bartholomew8158157
Warrick7854156
Floyd7763180
Grant7227179
Wayne7154201
Boone6911103
Morgan6735141
Dubois6211118
Marshall6205116
Cass5989108
Henry5893108
Dearborn588878
Noble579786
Jackson508374
Shelby500697
Lawrence4727121
Gibson444093
Harrison440473
Clinton439855
DeKalb438585
Montgomery433890
Whitley405642
Huntington402181
Steuben398659
Miami392568
Jasper386254
Knox375690
Putnam371860
Wabash360583
Ripley346470
Adams344955
Jefferson335685
White329753
Daviess3028100
Wells294881
Decatur289992
Greene286385
Fayette284664
Posey273735
LaGrange272872
Scott269855
Clay265448
Randolph244683
Washington244534
Jennings235149
Spencer234131
Starke227558
Fountain218347
Sullivan213943
Owen210858
Fulton201542
Jay200832
Carroll193420
Orange188055
Perry186937
Rush175626
Vermillion173544
Franklin170135
Tipton165746
Parke148916
Pike137934
Blackford136032
Pulaski120047
Newton112636
Brown103943
Crawford102316
Benton100814
Martin91415
Warren83515
Switzerland8098
Union72810
Ohio57811
Unassigned0421

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