After 61-65 yesterday, highs today reached 59-64.
The 65 high yesterday was the warmest at West Lafayette since October 23! It was not necessarily a rough winter, but winter weather has lasted a long time. It began around Halloween! It never got very warm again until Christmas when the day after Christmas we hit 64.
Peak gusts today to this evening were measured as high as 46 mph.
Steady rain becoming showers & a few t'storms. Isolated pea hailer possible. Windy with southwest gusts 30-40 mph (isolated +40 mph) becoming west to northwest late. Lows 42-47 by 9 a.m.
Few early showers, then mostly cloudy to cloudy, then some clearing late. Windy early. Highs 45-52. Northwest winds 15-30 mph, then decreasing to 5-15 mph late.
Clearing, then increasing clouds. Cloudy by sunrise with a few showers arriving. Low 33-36, then rising to 37-41. North wind 2-5 mph becoming south at 5 mph.
Few morning showers, then mostly cloudy to cloudy. Highs 52-56. South-southwest wind 10-15 mph.
Some clearing. Some patchy fog possible. Lows 39-44. South-southwest wind 5-10 mph.
Partly to mostly cloudy. A few isolated to spotty showers/t'showers increasing to a wave of showers & some t'storms in the PM. Isolated smaller hailer ot two possible. Windy. Highs 62-66. Southwest wind 15-30 mph.
A pocket of MARGINAL RISK could develop, most likely (per latest data) in Illinois to Missouri. We will see if that threat is moved eastward (if the risk of isolated severe weather develops).
Showers/few t'storms ending. Becoming partly cloudy. Windy. Lows 34-39. Wind chills 21-28. West-northwest to northwest 20-30 mph.
Partly cloudy. Windy. Highs 43-48. West-northwest wind 25-40 mph.
Clearing, then increasing clouds. Wind diminishing. Lows 27-31. Northwest wind 15-25 mph becoming north to northeast at 5 mph.
TOTAL RAINFALL Monday evening-Friday should run 0.80-1.30" for the viewing area, it appears.
Rain/snow & rain developing. Breezy. Highs 39-44. East-northeast wind 10-20 mph.
Rain/snow or snow. Breezy. Lows 31-34. East-northeast wind 15-25 mph.
AM rain/snow or snow. Breezy. Mostly cloudy to cloudy, then some clearing possible late. Highs 39-44. Northeast wind 10-20 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Low 30-33. East wind 10-15 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Highs 43-48. East-southeast wind 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy. Lows 33-37. East-southeast wind 5-7 mph.
Periods of rainfall will likely develop along & north of the warm front Tuesday-Wednesday of next week.
A few embedded t'storms are possible by Wednesday.
Highs should run in the 40s to around 50 with overnight lows in the 40-45 range.
Winds should be out of the east to northeast, then southeast.
There are two systems to watch closely around March 19-23.
FIRST ONE: AROUND MARCH 19-20
Periods of rain, storms & some severe weather risk are possible with warm temperatures (60s, 70s possible).
As system pivots though Missouri, through central Illinois to Michigan, it should deepen rapidly, which will help to bring about severe weather risk.
SECOND ONE: MARCH 22-23
Another powerhouse storm is possible just 2-3 days later with 60s & 70s & some severe weather risk. Heavy rainfall is also possible.
This one will be deepening rapidly from northwest Iowa to northwestern Wisconsin.
We may have a night amidst either of these systems that the temperature does not fall below 60 in part of the viewing area.
Flash flooding & river flooding may become an issue.
Warm temperatures (temperature anomalies on map around March 23):
Colder than normal pattern should dominate in the last 7 days of March through the first week of April.
I cannot not rule out some brief snow.
It does not necessarly average out to a really dominant, warm pattern in mid-April.
Temperatures average near normal between the cold surges & equal warm surges.
After a very wet latter March, trend is for overall below normal rainfall in the first half of April.
Late April should turn warm & wet & stormy, as the overall trend for April as a whole is wetter than normal.
Summer 2020 looks warmer than normal with wet start, then much drier after early July, based on current analysis.
The axis of the heavier rainfall should shift north of our area with time in July. August appears to be the driest summer month, unless a hurricane or tropical storm remnants dump rainfall.
Dry signal noted also in September with above normal temperatures.