March 14, 12:20 PM Weather Forecast Update

SPC: 60% Chance of Tornado Watch Issuance for Part of the Area

Posted: Mar 14, 2019 12:05 PM
Updated: Mar 14, 2019 12:33 PM

The area of concern for us is central Illinois.  We need to watch the storms developing there.

Line of storms south of us will stay southeast & east of us with severe weather risk.

Technically there is a Tornado Watch for these storms for Clinton & Howard counties, but I am more focused on areas to our west.

Watching a line & any renegade cells that form ahead of it.

The Storm Prediction Center is considering a Tornado Watch for at least part of our viewing area (60% chance).

There is a Tornado Warning up for Livingston County, Illinois presently.

We have cloud breaks here, but the best heating (with temperatures to the mid 60s) is still in central Illinois.

Tornado risk in eastern Illinois is equal to that in far southwestern Indiana now, where we have seen Tornado Warnings.

This will move eastward if we can warm up as expected to the 60s to 70.

Severe indices are increasing in that eastern Illinois area & will move eastward if we can really warm up.

1-5 p.m. radar projection:

HRRR projection of warmer air with the sunshine, then sharp cool-down with cold front.  This is around 1-5 p.m.

Even outside of any t'storms, winds may still gust 45-60 mph at times in the viewing area now to evening.

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