Here is the final summary of the wind yesterday to last night with peak gusts 31-46 mph.
Clearing of the low cloud deck continues to work southward. It is currently along Indiana 18.
However, as quickly as these low clouds break more will overspread from the west as system approaches that will bring a few showers early tomorrow morning & tomorrow afternoon-evening.
After lows 31-39 from north to south, temperatures should rise to 36-41 by early Wednesday morning.
Patchy to areas of fog are also possible overnight & into tomorrow morning.
With mostly cloudy skies, highs tomorrow should reach 53-57 with a few morning isolated showers & a few PM isolated showers. Coverage will run at just 25% at most.
Partly to mostly cloudy skies & windy weather should dominate Thursday with highs 62-66.
At this point, it looks like much of the severe weather risk will be southwest & south of our area.
Here, an isolated severe storm cannot completely be ruled out. However, the better severe threat (up to SLIGHT RISK) will set up in southern Illinois & Indiana & southward.
So, a passing isolated shower will give way to a wave of showers & a few embedded t'storms Thursday evening-early night.
We will continue to monitor for changes.
Friday is cooler with mostly sunny skies, then increasing clouds, but it will be a windy day.
Saturday PM to Sunday AM is interesting.
Rain/snow is possible, but we do not know how much rain or snow will occur. Also, track is unclear, as it appears that a lot of dry air over Ontario may try to bleed in on east to northeast winds.
We will know more in the coming days. Some data has an accumulating snowfall, others not so much. There is such a disparity in model solutions from some saying 5" of snow & others have dry air eat it up that it is impossible to go into any more detail right now.
Analog data does not have much of a snowfall response noted.
It gets more active next week with periods of rainfall & some t'storms Monday night to Thursday with warm front in the region & then main, strong storm system pivoting through Thursday.
Locally-heavy rainfall (1.5-3") will be an issue next week & some severe risk may occur Wednesday with higher potential Thursday as we warm & shear & dynamics strengthen.
After a cool-down will will monitor next week for some severe risk at some point in the March 22-24 time frame.
Colder pattern should follow with even some rain/snow & freezing temperatures at night.