June 7, 10:45 PM Weather Forecast Update

Some rainfall, cool spurts, then heat!

Posted: Jun 7, 2019 9:42 PM
Updated: Jun 7, 2019 11:11 PM

After highs of 82-87 yesterday, they ran 79-85 today with strong east-northeast winds.  Gusts reached as high as 33 mph & were sustained at 20-25 mph at times.

The new data is in...............

Here is the outlook for the weekend & beyond.

Clouds will continue to be on the increase Saturday morning with mostly cloudy skies much of the afternoon-evening.  Lows Saturday morning will run 59-63.

Highs Saturday will run from 79 southeast to 87 far northwest & 80-82 at Greater Lafayette. 

It will be the warmest in the far northwest due to a longer duration of greater sunshine there & a band of sinking air just ahead of the more humid air & scattered rainfall.  That sinking air will compress & heat up.  You often see this on the edges of the lift associated with tropical storms & hurricanes.  A band of sinking, drying, compressing, heating air will occur ahead of the first band of scattered rainfall & rising air.  In this case it is the upper low to our southwest & not a tropical storm or hurricane.

Winds will still be pretty strong out of the east at 15-30 mph.

After dry air initially, it will turn more humid in the afternoon as a swath of humid air is pulled northwestward by low pressure well to our south.

A few scattered showers & storms are possible with 30% coverage in the p.m.  These move southeast & east to northwest & west over the viewing area.

Rainfall coverage will peak Sunday at 50-60% overall with some waves of showers & storms pivoting through from the east & southeast.

Only mention of severe weather risk is brief rope funnel or weak, brief tornado that would occur due to the vorticity-rich environment of the spinning low pressure & the high humidity with low LCLs (cloud bases).

Winds will be east to east-southeast to northeast at 10-15 mph.  Highs will run 76-81 with high humidity after morning lows in the 60s.

Rainfall Saturday-Monday AM will run 0.15" to 1.60" due to scattered nature of it.

Note the flooding +5" rains south & southeast of the area where Flood Watches are up.

This was the worry last weekend & early week when it appeared that this particular part of the storm system would make it as far northwest as our viewing area.

Monday should dry out & turn less humid with 70s with 50-55 Monday night.  Tuesday looks good at 76-80, followed by 78-82 Wednesday with a few showers/storms late.

Thursday still looks cool for the time of year with north to northeast wind & highs 68-73.  Lows of 47-52 are likely Thursday night.

70s Friday should give way to higher humidity, southwest winds & 81-85 Saturday (all with sunshine).

Sunday-Monday looks dry, breezy & bright with 80s.

June 18-25 looks very warm to hot & humid (hottest weather of 2019, so far).  There may be a few bouts of storms with severe risk, but the majority of it will stay north, northwest & west of our area.

More of it may settle in here June 27-July 1 with locally-heavy rainfall & higher severe weather risk.  It also looks very warm to hot & humid to very humid with dew points potentially well into the 70s.

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