June 28, 11:30 AM Weather Forecast Update

Extended period of hot, oppressive weather. Some storms with focus on Tuesday.

Posted: Jun 28, 2020 11:12 AM
Updated: Jun 28, 2020 1:42 PM

4-9" rain fell Friday night & then again Saturday over southern Newton, Jasper & northern Benton counties.  Significant flash flooding occurred & areal flooding is still in progress there.

Kentland rainfall total is 8.70", Earl Park measured 6.26", Remington 5.34".

That area has been hit hard.  After wind damage & 1" hail Friday night & a funnel cloud Saturday, then the flood.

Flood Warning is up for the Iroquois River:

The National Weather Service in Chicago has issued a

* Flood Warning for
The Iroquois River near Foresman, or from Near I-65 east of
Foresman downstream to near US-41 north of Kentland.
* from this afternoon to Monday afternoon.
* At 645 AM Sunday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
rise to near 18.5 feet by this evening.The river will fall below
flood stage by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...County road 1000S north of the river near
Brook.

Significant flash flooding has shifted to southern Indiana & Kentucky where up to 6" of rainfall has occurred this morning.

Keys to flooding the past two days has been slow movment of storms, very high precipitable water values with dew points to 77, multiple MCVs & boundaries for storms to train, whether they be outflow boundaries or frontal boundaries.

There will be a lack of solid storm development today (though still a few isolated showers/storms possible) even with boundaries & MCV to our southwest.  Given tropical airmass, low LCLs (cloud bases) & boundaries from previous storms in area & MCV to our southwest, isolated brief funnel is possible.  Sky may be a bit hazy due to Saharan dust with clouds/sun & highs 80s to near 90 with high dew points making it feel more like the 90s to 100.

Saharan dust this afternoon moving northeastward:

A couple/few isolated showers/storms are possible Monday morning & then Monday evening.

Highs Monday will run in the upper 80s to lower 90s with heat indices 90s to lower 100s.

Well-prounounced MCV Tuesday will bring higher storm risk by Tuesday evening.  There is the risk of some severe weather & localized heavy rainfall.  Slow movement of storms will be issue for flash flooding.

Highs in the upper 80s to the 90s with heat indices 90s to lower 100s.

Hot, humid to very humid weather will dominate through July 7.  A few storms are possible & we will watch any renegade MCVs or ridge riders, but there will also be considerable capping frequently.

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