June 24, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

Hot, humid weather returns with risk of storms.

Posted: Jun 24, 2020 9:35 PM
Updated: Jun 24, 2020 11:11 PM

Highs today reached 76-82 over the area.

Some scattered showers/storms dumped up to 0.60" of rainfall in our northeast.  Most areas saw less than 0.30".

The pockets of +1" are likely due to hail contamination of the data.  These pockets showed pea hail cores on radar.  I have not received any small hail reports however (yet anyway).

Only areas that saw at least 0.10" of rainfall show up on the Doppler radar imagery below.

A gust of 35 mph was measured northeast of Winamac with storm, while a gust of 36 mph was measured just west of Rochester.  East of Rochester, storm produced gust measured to 47 mph.

Areas that saw rainfall will see some patchy fog overnight to early Thursday morning.  Lows will run 55-60.

Clouds will bubble up Thursday with a few isolated pm showers (25%) & highs 81-86.  The humidity will still be low with a west-southwest wind 10-15 mph. 

Warm front should pass through Friday morning with a few showers & storms possible (35%).  Dry weather with partly cloudy skies should follow with a big surge in the humidity.  Dew points will surge to 70-75 with south-southwest wind 15-30 mph.

Highs of 88-93 are likely with those high dew points overspreading the area.  This will result in peak heat indices of 94-105 over the area.

Severe storms should blow up north, west & northwest of the area Friday afternoon-evening.

Line of storms may hang on long enough for a few severe gusts, mainly in the northwest & north of the viewing area.

Line should then weaken with time southward.

SLIGHT RISK for severe is up for Newton, Jasper counties with MARGINAL RISK elsewhere.

We will monitor.

Much storm development will occur with the outflow boundary from the weakening, then collapsing storms (perhaps with a subtle MCV as well & a stronger MCV pivoting eastward from Missouri).  This should take place just south & southeast of our area.

However, some storms may also fire on a surface frontal boundary sinking in from the north in our area.

This is good enough for MARGINAL RISK for severe in our area, but SLIGHT RISK parameters are showing up more southwest, south & southeast of the viewing area.

Highs of 86-90 are likely with humid conditions.

Sunday storm coverage looks to run 35-40% with just some scattered storms around with highs 86-90 & humid conditions.

Storm coverage will tend to decrease Monday-Tuesday with hot, humid week expected next week.

Big, hot upper ridge will dominate mid to late next week with hot, humid weather.

Highest temperatures & heat indices of 2020 are possible.

This snapshot from the end of next week shows projected temperatures just after midday.  Note the pocket of upper 90s at that time around Chicago & 92-96 temperatures here (with heat indices 97-108).

There are signs that storms & some severe weather risk may occur around July 4 or 5 with the intense heat.

West Lafayette
Clear
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Hi: 77° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 75°
Kokomo
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Hi: 75° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 75°
Rensselaer
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Fowler
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Feels Like: 73°
Williamsport
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Hi: 76° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 73°
Crawfordsville
Clear
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Hi: 76° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 74°
Frankfort
Clear
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Hi: 75° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 79°
Delphi
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 76° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 73°
Monticello
Clear
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Hi: 77° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 73°
Logansport
Clear
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Hi: 75° Lo: 50°
Feels Like: 73°
Mainly Dry and Warmer Rest of the Week.
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