June 24, 10:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Hot, humid weather ahead!

Posted: Jun 24, 2019 9:38 PM
Updated: Jun 24, 2019 10:31 PM

Highs today ran 74-80 with high humidity.

Lows tonight should run near 60 to 63 with some patchy fog.

A few isolated storms will try to make it in here late tomorrow & Wednesday before they collapse.  It is unclear whether they can make much headway into the area, but it is possible. 

I am going to keep 20% for late tomorrow-tomorrow night & Wednesday for this.  Otherwise, skies look partly cloudy.

If a storm can really keep its active together, it could be severe, but coverage will be low (with that lack of confidence on how long they can last).

Thursday & Friday look completely dry right now.  An outflow boundary & far tail end of an MCV was northeast of us may spark a couple isolated storms Saturday. 

Timing is not concrete, so we will need to make sure this does not occur earlier, say Friday.

Here is the MCS & then the MCV & outflow boundary expected:

Sunday & Monday continue to look dry.

It will be an extended period of hot, humid weather for 6 days, 7 if you count tomorrow.

Weak cold front will slide through Tuesday afternoon-evening.  Wind fields will be weak, so storms will tend to be pulsey & slow-moving, but may gradually congeal into a bit of a line over part of the area.  This will occur on pre-frontal trough's convergence ahead of the weak front.

The slow movement of any storm may result in locally-heavy rainfall.

Extra-high humidity will pool ahead of this front Tuesday with dew points potentially reaching 76-80.  This, with highs of 87-92, will result in heat indices near 100 to 111.

Early July looks hot & humid (above normal temperatures), mid-July shows a break from the heat (below normal temperatures), late July shows a return to above normal temperatures.

Early July a bit drier than normal, while mid-July looks wetter & late July look normal, rainfall-wise.

There is a trend for an overall wetter & cooler than normal August & also a wetter & cooler September.

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