Highs today ran 74-80 with high humidity.
Lows tonight should run near 60 to 63 with some patchy fog.
A few isolated storms will try to make it in here late tomorrow & Wednesday before they collapse. It is unclear whether they can make much headway into the area, but it is possible.
I am going to keep 20% for late tomorrow-tomorrow night & Wednesday for this. Otherwise, skies look partly cloudy.
If a storm can really keep its active together, it could be severe, but coverage will be low (with that lack of confidence on how long they can last).
Thursday & Friday look completely dry right now. An outflow boundary & far tail end of an MCV was northeast of us may spark a couple isolated storms Saturday.
Timing is not concrete, so we will need to make sure this does not occur earlier, say Friday.
Here is the MCS & then the MCV & outflow boundary expected:
Sunday & Monday continue to look dry.
It will be an extended period of hot, humid weather for 6 days, 7 if you count tomorrow.
Weak cold front will slide through Tuesday afternoon-evening. Wind fields will be weak, so storms will tend to be pulsey & slow-moving, but may gradually congeal into a bit of a line over part of the area. This will occur on pre-frontal trough's convergence ahead of the weak front.
The slow movement of any storm may result in locally-heavy rainfall.
Extra-high humidity will pool ahead of this front Tuesday with dew points potentially reaching 76-80. This, with highs of 87-92, will result in heat indices near 100 to 111.
Early July looks hot & humid (above normal temperatures), mid-July shows a break from the heat (below normal temperatures), late July shows a return to above normal temperatures.
Early July a bit drier than normal, while mid-July looks wetter & late July look normal, rainfall-wise.
There is a trend for an overall wetter & cooler than normal August & also a wetter & cooler September.