Lows this morning ran 55-63 with a few isolated showers. The day was partly cloudy with highs 71-82 from east & northeast to southwest.
A shortwave will pivot through tonight just north of surface front stalled just south of the area. A few showers possible in our southwestern half for a few hours, then skies should clear up again.
Lows of 47-56 are likely (coolest northeast, warmest southwest).
Sunday looks good with sunshine & highs 73-82 with low humidity, followed by 82-87 Monday with sunshine & some clouds as warm front approaches & pushes through.
Trend is to keep us under hot upper ridge, dry & capped Tuesday to next Sunday with lots of storms northwest of our region from Wisconsin & Minnesota to northwestern Kansas & Colorado. Repeated rounds of severe storms are likely there.
Highs look to run around 90 to the 90s Tuesday-Sunday.
Overnight lows upper 60s to well into the 70s are likely.
The hottest day is currently shaping up for Friday with temperatures well into the 90s.
Watch the heat spread east & then move southeastward:
Some scattered storms are possible next Sunday as cold front passes.
Best wind fields for organized severe storms are just north of our area, so may have SLIGHT parameters north of the area, but MARGINAL here.
We will monitor.
Overall rainfall coverage is 50%.
Monday is cooler & a bit less humid with 82-87, followed by 57-65 Monday night-early Tuesday morning (June 22-23).
Front should move northward & stall just north of area, but it should be railroad for some complexes of storms to train upon.
This will result in off & on storm potential in the late June 23-June 27 time frame with very warm to hot, muggy weather.
Rainfall will be welcome, but risk of some severe weather will be with us given some MCVs & one pronounced shortwave & a surface cold front.
Break should ensue with dry weather, followed by risk of some storms in the June 30-July 2 time frame.