June 12, 1:15 PM Weather Forecast Update

Much cooler Thursday, then warmth, mugginess & storms....active pattern with heavy rainfall potential down the road.

Posted: Jun 12, 2019 12:26 PM
Updated: Jun 12, 2019 1:23 PM

Scattered showers & storms are likely late today (after 3 p.m. as we moisten up), followed by some chilly rainfall overnight to Thursday morning.

It will turn windy & much cooler overnight with lows 51-55 with northwest winds up to 30 mph.

Isolated severe risk will run west & southwest & east & southeat of our area.

Best dynamics will be west of us, best instability will be east & southeast of us.

Rainfall will vary greatly from 0.15" to 1.10" with most areas seeing 0.25-0.45".  The higher totals will occur under the heavier showers & storms of late today-this evening.

Low, gray, dreary stratus clouds will be with us part of tomorrow, followed by a nice clearing trend.  It will be a cooler, windy day with north winds to 30 mph & highs only 62-69 (northeast to southwest).  Looks like 65-67 at Greater Lafayette.

Unseasonbly cool lows of 43-48 are likely Thursday night as skies clear & winds go light to calm.

Friday looks much warmer with a southwest wind & highs 75-80 with increasing clouds as warm front drifts northward into the area.

Cluster of heavy storms will erupt along & just north of the warm front Friday evening over Iowa with isolated severe hail possible.

This wave of rainfall should pass Friday night-Saturday morning as showers & some storms.

A break should ensue after that.

However, a complex of showers & storms is possible late afternoon-evening Saturday right along & just south of that warm front (by the way, below is the new upgrade to the U.S. GFSFV3 model that looks to fixed the really bad quirks in it, including its atrocious cold bias)

Some (at least MARGINAL RISK) severe weather risk may develop (depends on thermodynamics & how quickly we can recover instability, even if it is largely elevated or rooted atop a more stable layer near the ground).

There could be some showers/storms Sunday, followed by drying trend.

Storms are possible late next week.  Severe weather risk still looks possible.

The June 24-July 1 trends overall show frequent visits of storms with severe risk off & on & locally-heavy rainfall at times. 

It also looks muggy with highs & lows largely above normal.  80s to 90 will dominate with lows 60s to lower 70s.  There looks to be multiple days with highs 88-92 with dew points 72-77, which would bring us heat indices +100 in a chunk of the viewing area.

Storms will then tend to shift northwestward as we start July.  Main corridor will be Kansas to Minnesota & the Dakotas & Wisconsin after that.

We tend to cap & show consistent heat daily.  Only a few spotty storms may develop at times in early July, it appears currently.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 32078

Reported Deaths: 2004
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9268539
Lake3320168
Cass15826
Allen130966
St. Joseph120534
Hendricks113067
Hamilton111592
Johnson1086104
Elkhart105728
Madison58258
Porter49021
Bartholomew48133
Clark46138
LaPorte41522
Tippecanoe3753
Jackson3671
Howard36519
Delaware35735
Hancock32127
Shelby31521
Floyd31438
Boone28835
Morgan26224
Vanderburgh2482
Montgomery23117
White2268
Decatur22431
Clinton2221
Grant19121
Noble18921
Harrison18721
Dubois1852
Greene16724
Warrick16426
Dearborn16421
Henry1619
Monroe16011
Vigo1477
Lawrence14423
Miami1391
Putnam1337
Jennings1274
Orange12422
Scott1183
Ripley1126
Franklin1068
Kosciusko941
Carroll922
Daviess8216
Steuben802
Marshall761
Newton7410
Wabash722
Wayne715
Fayette684
LaGrange602
Jasper581
Washington521
Fulton471
Rush452
Jay440
Randolph433
Jefferson411
Whitley402
Pulaski390
Clay391
Owen341
Brown331
Sullivan321
Starke313
DeKalb311
Perry260
Huntington262
Knox250
Tipton251
Benton250
Wells240
Crawford230
Blackford211
Switzerland190
Fountain182
Spencer171
Posey170
Parke170
Gibson142
Ohio130
Warren121
Adams121
Vermillion90
Martin90
Union80
Pike60
Unassigned0154
West Lafayette
Clear
70° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 70°
Kokomo
Clear
70° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 70°
Rensselaer
Clear
68° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 68°
Fowler
Clear
68° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 68°
Williamsport
Clear
70° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 70°
Crawfordsville
Broken Clouds
65° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 65°
Frankfort
Clear
69° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 69°
Delphi
Scattered Clouds
67° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 67°
Monticello
Scattered Clouds
67° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 67°
Logansport
Clear
70° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 70°
Some more storms ahead....
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