Severe storms northwest & west of us will collapse tonight.
A few showers/storms should on just long enough to justify mention of some spotty rainfall with cloudiness around here tomorrow morning.
Clouds should then decrease, cumulus build & temperatures heat up to 89-93 with heat indices 96-106.
At least a broken line of storms is likely tomorrow evening in the 7-11 p.m. time frame.
Main threat is for severe wind gusts (+58 mph), but if some cells remain discrete, then some large hail could occur (1-1.50" diameter).
The viewing area is under a SLIGHT RISK of severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center.
Thursday-Friday looks cooler & less humid with 78-84 & lows 55-60.
It should heat up rapidly next weekend to 91-96 with heat indices 97-105.
On the periphery of this intense heat, some storms or a complex of storms are possible Saturday evening-night with some severe risk.
Sunday looks dry.
Meanwhile, rapidly-developing tropical system should be steered westward by upper ridge farther northwest & north into the Plains & Midwest.
Either a tropical storm or hurricane, it may make landfall in Texas this upcoming weekend.
There are a lot of subtle uncertainties about its track, strength & how it will influence our area.
Best estimated it that it may be pulled into the Plains & then remnants may overtop the ridge & ride along a trough & cold front as a line or complex of storms with some severe risk here mid next week.
Much could change. Stay tuned for forecast changes.
Thinking that we then cut the heat a bit after peaking at 92-97 over the area Monday &/or Tuesday with heat indices 99-108.
It should cool some mid to late next week (July 17-19).
Thoughts then turn toward hot upper ridging period in the July 20-28 time frame, followed by stormy weather & a change to cooler pattern as we end July & move through early August.
My eyes are also on another hot upper ridge in late August with 90s after an overall respite from the heat. It also looks to transition from wetter & cooler to hotter & drier again from early August to late August.
- July 1, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 17, 2 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 22, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 24, 1 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 3, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 5, 5 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 7, 9 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 8, 3 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 11, 4 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 17, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update