July 16, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

Crunching new numbers, here is the latest on the temperatures & storm risk now to the end of July.

Posted: Jul 16, 2020 9:46 PM
Updated: Jul 16, 2020 11:31 PM

June was the hottest since 2012 & so far July is the hottest since 2012.  July is also the driest since 2012 officially in Greater Lafayette.

Parts of Fulton, Cass & Miami counties are now considered to be in an official Moderate Drought.  Other areas are Abnormally Dry.  Benton, Newton, Jasper, western White & southern Fountain to Montgomery counties are actually moist to wet, however. 

More rainfall is needed to overcome deficits since late May in the yellow & tan areas.  Of course, there are obviously some pockets in that yellow that are not in a deficit, but enough are to paint it in D0.

Since June 1, I have measured 3.58" of rainfall at our WLFI ob site.  Normal for June 1-July 15 is 6.09".  This is a deficit of -2.51".

Since May 1, I have measured a total of 6.46".  Normal for May 1-July 15 is 10.28".  This is a deficit of -3.82". 

______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Summer 2020 so far is the

Highs today reached 80-87 with heat indices 82-94.

WLFI ob site high was 85 with peak heat index of 90.

Purdue Airport reached 84 with a peak heat index of 88.

The complexes (MCSs) of severe storms in the "Ring of Fire" will stay northwest, north & northeast of the area Saturday to Sunday morning it appears.

Some data has suggested that a bowing MCS may impact the area Sunday morning as the tail end of it does a bit of a right turn.

Data tonight continues to show lack of any of these tracking into our area.  Only a couple isolated storms may pop Saturday, breaking through the cap.

92-97 & 93-100 are possible Saturday & Sunday with breezy conditions & heat indices from near 100 to as high as around 110.

Saturday:

Saturday night-Sunday morning:

We will see if outflow boundary can develop enough convergence to force a few storms through the cap Sunday or complex of storms does a turn in to the area Sunday night.

We will watch.

Multiple rounds of storms are likely in the area Tuesday through Thursday with some severe risk at times.

Highs will run upper 80s to 90s with muggy weather resulting in 90s & 100s heat indices at times.

Locally-heavy rainfall is possible in this "Ring of Fire" pattern.

Only thing preventing more robust severe risk here is that the stronger winds aloft will be situated more northwest & north of our area rather than right over our area.

Brief respite of heat for next Friday turns to 90s (& high humidity) again a week from this weekend (July 25-26).  We get back into periods of storms, as well as we get back to "Ring of Fire" pattern.

So, this is a nice turn toward some welcome rainfall as the "Ring of Fire" shows up well in the CFSV2 model.  Green is above normal rainfall, yellow is below normal rainfall.  White is normal rainfall for the 30-year climatological average.

Temperatures are running above normal overall for the rest of July:

West Lafayette
Cloudy
53° wxIcon
Hi: 60° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 53°
Kokomo
Cloudy
53° wxIcon
Hi: 62° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 53°
Rensselaer
Cloudy
52° wxIcon
Hi: 54° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 52°
Fowler
Cloudy
53° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 53°
Williamsport
Cloudy
54° wxIcon
Hi: 58° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 54°
Crawfordsville
Cloudy
54° wxIcon
Hi: 61° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 54°
Frankfort
Cloudy
54° wxIcon
Hi: 62° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 54°
Delphi
Cloudy
53° wxIcon
Hi: 62° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 53°
Monticello
Cloudy
53° wxIcon
Hi: 63° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 53°
Logansport
Cloudy
52° wxIcon
Hi: 62° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 52°
Cooler, gray weather with spits of rain...
WLFI Temps
WLFI Planner

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 1003647

Reported Deaths: 16423
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1351072116
Lake661851159
Allen57674800
Hamilton46217464
St. Joseph44210611
Elkhart35807508
Vanderburgh32162480
Tippecanoe27859258
Johnson25007444
Hendricks23795357
Porter22856365
Madison18694408
Clark18505252
Vigo17393303
Monroe15218199
LaPorte15101250
Delaware15024261
Howard14681289
Kosciusko12260147
Hancock11682175
Bartholomew11548180
Warrick11270189
Floyd11059214
Wayne10946253
Grant10019219
Morgan9438176
Boone8891116
Dubois8249131
Dearborn819893
Henry8174152
Noble8003106
Marshall7891135
Cass7519121
Lawrence7433171
Shelby7171119
Jackson695889
Gibson6567115
Harrison646691
Huntington636899
Knox6360106
DeKalb628699
Montgomery6229109
Miami591498
Putnam577678
Clinton572171
Whitley563455
Steuben558976
Wabash5309103
Jasper527879
Jefferson509297
Ripley498686
Adams479775
Daviess4653114
Scott438473
Greene423596
Wells422588
Clay421360
White417364
Decatur4152102
Fayette405787
Jennings385961
Posey375844
Washington356150
LaGrange356078
Randolph343499
Spencer338743
Fountain333860
Sullivan327852
Starke315570
Owen313970
Fulton309167
Orange292663
Jay283445
Franklin265143
Perry264852
Rush260832
Carroll260633
Vermillion257254
Parke230426
Pike228443
Tipton227259
Blackford191841
Pulaski183157
Crawford159023
Newton156848
Benton150217
Brown145747
Martin138019
Switzerland134811
Warren120816
Union107016
Ohio84213
Unassigned0540

COVID-19 Important links and resources

As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your family safe. CLICK HERE

Closings related to the prevention of the COVID-19 can be found on our Closings page.

Community Events