SEVERE WX : Flood Warning View Alerts

July 5, 5 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest outlook from now to as late as September.

Posted: Jul 5, 2019 4:30 PM
Updated: Jul 5, 2019 6:20 PM

Scattered storms will gradually diminish this evening, but remnant weak MCV nearby may regenerate a few isolated storms late tonight-tomorrow morning.  Any isolated cell that pops would be a slow-mover & a heavy rainfall producer.  Lows will run 69-72.

Scattered storms are likely Saturday afternoon with 86-92 with heat indices 94-102.

An isolated severe storm is possible (wet downburst).  Locally-heavy rainfall could occur as these storms pulse up & move slowly with very high rainfall rates.

A few isolated showers & storms are possible Sunday morning to early afternoon, followed by a clearing trend.

It will be cooler Sunday at 82-87, but it will still be rather humid with dew points 65-70.  Though, that will not be as bad as the 73-77 dew points of today.

Monday looks dry, partly cloudy with highs 82-87 with dew points still humid at 64-69.

Tuesday looks very warm to hot & humid with partly cloudy skies & highs 85-91 with heat indices 88-101 from northeast to southwest as weak warm front lifts northeastward.

A complex of storms or MCS may ride warm front into the viewing area Tuesday night.  Some severe weather cannot be ruled out.

Sun may follow this Wednesday with potentially a pre-frontal line of storms.  Some severe weather cannot be ruled out.

Parameters look like SLIGHT RISK.

The actual cold front may not pass until Thursday midday-early afternoon, so kept some storms in for Thursday, though they do not look severe.

There is some question on when exactly the actual cold front will pass.  Some data suggests it will already be south of our area by Thursday.

We will monitor & tweak forecast as needed.

There will be a shift towards overall below normal temperatures in mid-July.

It looks cooler & less humid Friday with sunshine & highs 78-83 & lows 55-58.

Next Saturday looks good so far with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies & highs 79-84 with lows 55-60.

Sunday looks more humid with partly cloudy skies & 82-86.

July 15-16 will have multiple rounds of showers & storms with highs in the 80s & lows in the 60s with high humidity.

Nice shot of cooler air will follow with July 17-18 highs of 77-81 with lows 51-55.

Showers/storms are possible around July 19-20 with higher humidity & highs 76-81 with lows in the 60s.

Cooler weather of 78-83 may follow for a couple of more days with dry weather after that.  Lows of 55-59 are possible.

Note the cooler upper troughiness  in our area & eastward. 

The hot upper ridge will shift westward.

In late July, it appears intense heat could develop.  Multiple days of highs well into the 90s are possible as strong upper ridge centers over the Great Lakes & eastern U.S.

Height anomalies & temperatures 15-25 degrees above normal will dominate eastern Canada & the northeastern U.S.

Latest data suggests temperatures around 10 degrees above normal here.  Normal high as the time is around 84-86 degrees.

With this ridge occurring hear the climatological max of average temperatures for the time of year for many areas of the eastern U.S. & Canada, these temperatures certainly seem possible.

After storms possible as we exit July (with some severe weather possible), early half of August looks to have temperatures average below normal with rainfall above normal.

Hotter, drier weather looks to return for late August.

As for September, as a whole, it currently looks cooler & wetter than normal.

Lafayette
Clear
38° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 22°
Feels Like: 38°
Kokomo
Partly Cloudy
34° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 21°
Feels Like: 27°
Rensselaer
Clear
34° wxIcon
Hi: 42° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 25°
Lafayette
Clear
38° wxIcon
Hi: 43° Lo: 21°
Feels Like: 38°
Danville
Clear
36° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 23°
Feels Like: 29°
Frankfort
Clear
34° wxIcon
Hi: 43° Lo: 23°
Feels Like: 26°
Frankfort
Partly Cloudy
34° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 22°
Feels Like: 26°
Monticello
Clear
33° wxIcon
Hi: 43° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 25°
Monticello
Clear
33° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 26°
Logansport
Clear
32° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 24°
Nice, mild weather....more active by late next week.
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