July 2, 3:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Hot, humid & off & on storms.

Posted: Jul 2, 2019 2:43 PM
Updated: Jul 2, 2019 3:52 PM

NWS has Heat Advisory up for part of the viewing area for this afternoon to early evening.

Heat indices are in the upper 90s to as high as 104 right now area-wide with temperatures of 88-94.

Scattered storms are developing & will continue to develop & increase in coverage as pulsey multi-cells loosely organized into some broken lines.

They should peak late afternoon-early evening, then collapse.

An isolated briefly severe storm or two is possible (wind, hail).

However, storms near Chicago will be closer to stronger wind fields aloft, so they may organize into a band or line.

This will migrate southward tonight, but will be gusting out & weakening in the process.  Winds may gust to 35-40 mph as it works southward into the area.

It is a bit unclear on how long the band/line will continue (even in the weakening process).

Some data suggests it will get all the way to Lafayette & then finally completely dissipate.  Other suggest US 24 or Route 18.

Regardless, even areas that do not see a storm, may see a wind shift to the north or northwest with gusts to 25-35 mph. This will be the collapsing line's gust front moving southward.

That gust front will serve as a boundary for pulsey multi-cell storms to fire Wednesday afternoon-evening & migrate north & eastward in the area.

An isolated briefly severe storm or two is possible (wind, hail).

Latest data continues to show scattered storms pulsing up Thursday afternoon to evening, then collapsing after 9 p.m.

An isolated pulsey, briefly severe storm is possible (wind, hail).

Slightly better wind field aloft may skim by our far north Friday, resulting in a line of storms possible late in the day.

Isolated severe weather is possible (wind, hail).

Scattered storms are possible Saturday & Sunday, followed by a dry Monday as weak cold front will sink southward.  It looks only slightly less humid Monday.

Rainfall totals now to Sunday will be highly-variable from some areas only getting a total of less than 0.75" to others seeing +2".

It will heat back up again, however, with high humidity & highs 88-93.

Storms are possible Tuesday night-Thursday of next week at times.  Looks like a couple MCSs may get us with some severe risk as a strong cold front & upper trough swing in.

This will usher in a stretch of overall below normal temperatures in mid-July.

It looks hot & humid again with intense heat possible (90s with heat indices 100s) in late July.

Temperatures should go back below normal for early August, which may last to mid August (thinking intense heat may return late August).

Rainfall overall should average out (now to mid-August) slightly above normal.

West Lafayette
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Feels Like: 72°
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Rensselaer
Overcast
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Hi: 76° Lo: 52°
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Fowler
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Williamsport
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Crawfordsville
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Feels Like: 70°
Frankfort
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Hi: 75° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 70°
Delphi
Clear
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Hi: 76° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 72°
Monticello
Clear
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Hi: 76° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 72°
Logansport
Scattered Clouds
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Hi: 75° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 72°
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