Storms & heat......
It still looks like the worst of the storm complex this evening will do a bit of a right turn, riding the stongest instability gradient. This puts the higher severe weather risk Missouri to Illinois & even southwestern Indiana.
We do have the SLIGHT RISK up to the state line & the MARGINAL RISK for severe weather over the entire viewing area, however.
Threat is a couple to few isolated severe gusts with lesser hail & tornado risk (though not zero).
Timing in our area would be 7 p.m.-12 a.m.
Other than an isolated shower/storm, Thursday & Friday are looking dry for now. We will monitor.
There is even a trend now to keep Saturday dry with all storm complexes occurring northwest, north to northeast of our area.
Again, we will monitor.
Really, the best potential of any storms again is setting up for late Tuesday-Wednesday to Thursday of next week.
The peak in the heat is shaping up for Sunday-Monday with highs 95-101.
Otherwise, after 88-94 today & 85-91 tomorrow, 90s dominate. Low to mid 90s Friday will give way to mid to upper 90s Saturday.
Temperatures will cool back to the 80s for a brief bit at the end of next week.
Heat indices should peak at 106-116 during this heat wave.
It does appear after that brief spurt of 80s that another round of intense heat will round out the rest of July before storms occur, followed by more sustained relief for a while in early August.