Sun is appearing in the southwestern half of of the area as low clouds break up. This, after some fog, low overcast & spits of showers this morning. Lows were in the 64-69 range. Noon temperatures are 72-79 with muggy to oppressive dew points of 70-75.
More sun will appear this afteroon southwest to northeast.
On a side note, note the smoke plume in Nebraska & eastern South Dakota & some in Iowa & Minnesota as of 11:45 a.m.
There is a MARGINAL RISK or Level 1 risk of severe weather today from 1 pm-8 pm.
Multi-cell storms will develop with risk of an isolated severe gust or two &/or brief EF0 spin-up of a tornado.
These will gradually fade with time this evening-early tonight.
Highs today of 79-86 are expected with high dew points of 72-77.
Given the high dew points, locally-heavy rainfall is possible.
There will not be as many storms tomorrow.
A few scattered storms are possible late morning to afternoon.
Highs of 85-90 are expected with 70s dew points leading to heat indices of 91-97.
Wednesday looks hot & dry with high dew points combined with 88-94 high leading to heat indices of 96-103.
South to south-southwest winds will run 10-20 mph.
Severe weather will all be well northwest & north of our area.
Storms are likely this Friday (July 16) with SLIGHT RISK or Level 2 parameters showing up. After that, there is really no severe weather risk until around July 25/26.
A few storms are possible next Wednesday-Thursday as warm front lifts back northward, but again, any substantial severe risk after Friday will occur later.
The main "Ring of Fire" should shift southwest & south of our area Saturday-Sunday with just a few spotty showers/storms here as a weak cold front moves southward & stalls over/near the area.
Horseshoe-shaped pattern of above normal temperatures will continue for much of the northern half of the U.S. with cooler temperatures in southern U.S. through the rest of July to start of August, overall.
The devastating drought & heat will continue in the West, Northern Plains, northern Great Lakes & New England with continued mounting crop losses.
Here, we are on-track to have ample rainfall for July with us being in the frequent sweet spot on the periphery of extremely hot upper ridges.