July 11, 10:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the low-down on the weekend & next week's weather based on the latest data.

Posted: Jul 12, 2019 9:17 PM
Updated: Jul 12, 2019 10:59 PM

Fall-Winter-Spring 2019-20 preliminary outlook is coming soon!  I should have a bit of one lined out in the next week.


BTW, the smoke from the Lindberg fire on Precision 18 NEXRAD radar seen was 1.1 miles up by the time it reached areas just south of Route 26 at West Lafayette.  The NWs radar is 67 miles away.  With a basic 0.5-degree tilt upward, the beam is at that 1.1-mile height at that 67-mile distance. 

This is due to Earth's curvature.


Lows this morning were the coldest in two weeks at 55-59.

Today was the first completely cloudless, totally sunny day since March 27.

With comfortable dew points in the 50s, highs today reached 81-86.

Saturday will be mostly sunny with increasing humidity, mainly later in the day.  Highs should run 89-92 with heat indices 92-98.

A few storms are possible Saturday late evening-night, mainly in the northern half.  An isolated severe storm or two is possible.

Lows will drop to 68-73.

A few isolated storms are possible Sunday.  Any storm that can completely break through a developing cap could go pulsey severe.

Highs Sunday will run 89-94 with heat indices 97-104 with partly cloudy skies.

Monday looks dry & hot with mostly sunny skies & highs 91-96 with sinking, heating air ahead of the Barry remnants, which will be centered over southeastern Missouri by afternoon.

Combination of the remnants skimming by to our southeast & a weak cold front washing out over the area will result in scattered storms Tuesday, Wednesday & perhaps a few Thursday. 

Isolated severe storms are possible.  They look like scattered pulsey multi-cells Tuesday-Wednesday.  Thursday may feature the remnants of an MCS (from Dakotas to Minnesota, Iowa & Wisconsin the night before) coming through as some scattered storms on an outflow boundary.

Highs will run 88-92 with lows 70-73 with daily heat indices 97-105.

Rainfall coverage will not be great, but there will be a few localized downpours of up to +2" of rainfall given such high dew points in the 73-77 range & degree of CAPE.

As quickly as that front washes out over the area, heat will overspread us, resulting in a 91-96 Friday with sunshine & some clouds.

It looked like the front might usher in a brief like 1- to 1.5-day cool down with highs 78-84 & lows 55-60.  I just don't see that happening in this new data.

The hot upper ridge will likely continue through Saturday & Sunday of next weekend with 90s.

Note the clusters of storms pivoting around the "Ring of Fire" with all of the heat & humidity here right up to July 24/25.  Widespread 90s are likely.  Some areas could approach 100.  Heat indices will run generally near 100 to as high as 112.

The more significant cold front should pass after July 24/25 with round of severe weather & then the cooler, wetter pattern.

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West Lafayette
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Scattered Clouds
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Warmer Tuesday With Chances For Scattered Storms and Rain
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