July 14, 5:15 PM Weather Forecast Update

Some storms, Barry remnants & intense heat wave.

Posted: Jul 14, 2019 5:06 PM
Updated: Jul 14, 2019 5:45 PM

Highs today have run 88-94 with heat indices as high as 104 after morning lows of 68-74.

Some scattered pulsey storms with risk of locally-heavy, flooding rainfall & a random wet downburst &/or brief hail are occurring generally along a Brook to Remington to Monticello to Flora to Russiaville line.  They are very slow movers to the southeast with high rainfall rates.

Over the next five hours, a few may develop or make it a bit farther southward & northward on either side of the current storms as they collapse (as outflow boundaries surge outward).

Most of the storms should collapse by 11 p.m., though a couple isolated showers/storms may still linger into the overnight, but coverage will be at 20% or less.

Lows tonight will only drop to 70-74.

A few more storms may re-develop late, late tonight to tomorrow morning, then diminish (30%).

However, a few new storms may fire in the afternoon to evening before collapsing (30%) as clouds re-build (& high & mid clouds from Barry remnants move south to north into the area. 

A random, isolated severe storm is possible in either instance.

Highs tomorrow will run (with partly to mostly cloudy skies) at 90-96 with heat indices of 98-107.

A period of some showers are possible here Monday night to Tuesday morning, followed by sun, clouds building & scattered storms with the risk of an isolated severe storm or two (45% coverage).

Highs will run 87-92 with heat indices 96-103.

Intense heat wave should dominate late week through next weekend.

90s will dominate with some areas reaching very close to 100.

Friday-Saturday currently look the hottest at 94-99 over the area.

Heat indices will run +104 daily to as high as 112.

Heat Advisory is highly-likely with potential of issuance of Excessive Heat Warning for the area for late week & next weekend.

Overnights will be exceptionally warm.  In fact, Friday night may feature a southwest breeze all night, keeping the low at 75-80.

It isn't completely out of the question for a few random isolated storms at any point that break through the cap, given daily ML CAPE of +4000 J/kg.

A random, very isolated storm that could completely overcome the cap would go way up very, very quickly & then collapse, resulting in the risk of a wet downburst with some large hail & brief heavy rainfall (even if there is only one or two storms).

Projected actual air high temperatures on Saturday of next weekend (for an example):

An MCS with severe weather risk (wind) late Monday night or Tuesday may cut the heat a bit.

Slightly cooler weather may occur Monday, but bigger cool-down will not arrive for several days afternoon.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Clear
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Hi: 59° Lo: 40°
Feels Like: 50°
Kokomo
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Hi: 58° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 48°
Rensselaer
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Fowler
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Williamsport
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Crawfordsville
Clear
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Frankfort
Scattered Clouds
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Hi: 59° Lo: 38°
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Delphi
Clear
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Hi: 58° Lo: 38°
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Monticello
Clear
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Hi: 57° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 46°
Logansport
Clear
43° wxIcon
Hi: 56° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 43°
Warmer Tuesday With Chances For Scattered Storms and Rain
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