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January 9, 4:45 PM: What Current Flood Forecasts Indicate

Here is the latest....

Posted: Jan 9, 2020 3:50 PM
Updated: Jan 9, 2020 5:47 PM

Forecast crest from NWS hydrologists & what model ensemble forecasts show...........outcomes of both..........are below.

Widespread river & creek flooding will occur, but magnitude will be determined by where band of heaviest rainfall sets up.....

This is based on the rainfall tonight through Saturday which will total 2.5-5".  Where the +5" band sets up will determine where greatest flooding will occur.

Overall, this is a moderate to major river flooding episode forecast.

These crests will occur next week.  This is NOT happening right now.....this is a forecast/projection for river crests next week.

LAFAYETTE (BROWN STREET OVERLOOK):

NWS Forecast Crest: ~23'

Significant flood. Flood waters along N River Rd extend from just north of the Happy Hollow Rd intersection to near the Old Soldiers Home, a distance of nearly 2 miles. The eastern end of Catherwood Dr is now in the river. Some residents along N River Rd, in the Davis Ferry Rd area and Barton Beach Rd area, may leave. Low parking areas of Williamsburg Apt complex flood. County Road 75 S west of CR 700 W floods. Fountain CR 500 E just north of Riverside and River Rd near Williamsport flood.

Model Shows:  ~26'

Major flood begins. This is the highest flood level since June 1958. Williamsburg Apartments and Levee Plaza begin to flood in West Lafayette. In Lafayette, business and industrial flooding begins along Canal and Sycamore Streets. Evacuation of mobile home residents along Burnett Creek possible. More residences along North River Rd...Barton Beach Area...Davis Ferry Area and Goldsberry Rd area south of Moots Creek flood. Some residents in rural areas of Foountain and Warren Counties begin to flood.

COVINGTON (US 136):

NWS Forecast Crest: ~26'

The approach to the Independence Bridge floods.

State Road 234 near Lodi is very close to flooding flood. Homes are are very close to being affected along Warren CR South on opposite side of river.

The Wabash River is nearly 3 miles wide along SR 234 by backing up into Coal Creek on the west side of Lodi and the Vermillion River on the north side of Cayuga. Flood waters are at the edge of the north side of SR 234 but not on the road. North Sandhill Road and W CR 260 N on the northeast side of Covington extensively flooded in places. Silver Island Road just south of SR 32 is impassable.1

Model Shows:  ~28'

Covington Lion's Club begins to flood. First floor flooding begins in some cottages across river in Warren County. Over topping of agricultural levees occurs. Crocket Street in Covington begins to flood as well as some rural residential property just north of Covington.

River Road would flood.

WILDCAT CREEK AT CR 400 E & EISENHOWER ROAD:

NWS Forecast Crest: ~19'

Flooding of Wildcat Creek Park and residential areas in the vicinity of Eisenhower Rd. 

Model Shows: ~19.5'

 Lane located on the west and south side of Wildcat Creek just north of Eisenhower Bridge floods. Homes may flood along this lane.

TIPPECANOE RIVER AT OAKDALE DAM:

NWS Forecast Crest: 13.8 kcfs

Extensive lowland flooding with flows between 13,000 and 18,000 cubic feet per second. Water at dangerous levels with a few evacuations and minimal property damage. Some local river roads begin to flood.

TIPPECANOE RIVER AT ROUTE 18 BRIDGE (DELPHI):

NWS Forecast Crest:  ~11.5'

Extensive lowland flooding in progress. Additional local roads begin to flood. Water levels becoming dangerous as property damage may begin and a few evacuations may be necessary.

Model Shows: ~12'

Significant flooding along the Tippecanoe River affecting local roads and some residential and recreational areas.

WABASH RIVER AT LOGANSPORT:

NWS Forecast Crest: ~13'

Flooding of low-lying agricultural and recreational areas begins.

Model Shows: ~14'

The Wabash River has not exceed this level since the start of the 3 flood control reservoirs located upstream since 1967.

Before flood control, there were 5 crests since 1880 that exceeded 18' in downtown Logansport:

(1) 25.30 ft on 03/26/1913
(2) 21.32 ft on 05/18/1943
(3) 20.30 ft on 02/01/1883
(4) 19.69 ft on 02/11/1959
(5) 18.82 ft on 01/05/1950

At 25', flooding would be up to 4th Street in downtown area. Widespread flooding in outlying area with devastation in central Logansport.

Many roads and bridges along Wabash River under water.  Once 21' is reached a very serious, major flood would be in progress with evacuation necessary.

At 19' flooding of downtown businesses below 4th Street and one to two blocks either side of Goose Creek.

WABASH RIVER AT PERU:

Model Shows:  ~19'

Flooding begins to affect the lowest point on River Road in Miami County as well as the lowest lying trailer camps.

The river nears flood stage. Local river road near flooding. Considerable agricultural flooding is occurring. Unprotected areas of Peru begin to flood.

TIPPECANOE RIVER AT WINAMAC:

NWS Forecast Crest: ~11'

Winamac town park floods. Extensive residential flooding is in progress.

Model Shows: ~13'

Major flooding is in progress.

Houses and lots are flooded in eastern parts of Winamac near the State Route 14 bridge. Some evacuations become necessary. The campground and town park in Winamac are flooded.

IROQUOIS RIVER AT RENSSELAER:

NWS Forecast Crest: ~15'

Water surrounds several homes in Rensselaer.  College Avenue threatened in Rensselaer.

Major flooding is in progress.

Model Shows: ~16'

Extensive flooding of cemetery and nearby public works. 

Major flooding is in progress.

IROQUOIS RIVER AT FORESMAN:

NWS Forecast Crest: ~22'

IN-55 threatened north of Foresman.  Water approaches sewage treatment plant at George Ade Memorial Healthcare center on State Rd 16.

Model Shows: ~24'

IN-16 threatened east of Brook.

Major flooding is in progress.

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Very Warm, Then Rainfall Potential, Followed by Much Cooler Weather
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