SEVERE WX : Flood Warning View Alerts

January 9, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

The new data is in....here is the latest forecast.

Posted: Jan 9, 2020 9:29 PM
Updated: Jan 9, 2020 11:22 PM

We mixed down some 40-55 mph gusts in our western & northwest counties today around & within the NWS Wind Advisory.  Peak gust at the Purdue Airport was 40.3 mph at 3:54 p.m.  Our WLFI site peak gust was 40.7 mph at 3:30 p.m.

Kentland Airport saw the highest measured gust today with 55.0 mph at 11:59 a.m. 

Our Kentland spotter, Jim, reported some shingle damage & gust to 55 mph at his house, as well.

The 50.1 mph gust at Fowler was measured at 3 p.m.

51.4 mph gust southeast of Covington was measured at 3:04 p.m.

It seems that some of the showers & virga & some bits of sun were important in mixing down the highest gusts in the very strong wind fields just a few thousand feet off the ground.  This accounts for the variablity of gusts strength & timing in the area seen today.

Tonight, we are still occasionally getting gusts to 41 mph in the viewing area.

Yet another mild day & a big change from yesterday with highs around 20 degrees above normal.  50-55 was found area-wide & it is still very mild near 50 to the low 50s in the area.

Rain & some embedded t'storms are moving northeastward tonight.

Rain & potential of isolate thunder/lightning will continue tonight & into tomorrow morning, especially in our southeastern 2/3 of the area.

Rainfall will become much lighter & spotty for several hours tomorrow, followed by rainfall & some thunder/lightning ramping up tomorrow night.

It will be very mild with temperatures in the 50s to 60 with our southern & southeastern areas potentially getting as high as the lower 60s tomorrow night.

Winds may gust from the south & south-southeast +35 mph at times.

Meanwhile, significant winter storm will get going west & northwest of our area.

Heaviest rainfall look to occur Friday night-early Saturday morning.

There is the risk of an isolated severe storm or two south of I-74 as isolated severe weather races out of Missouri & through southern Illinois to parts of Indiana Friday night &/or Saturday.

Still looks like a 2.5-5" rainfall area-wide now to Saturday.  A narrow band of +5" is possible.  The extent of the +3" is impressive.

Widespread Moderate to Major creeks, stream & river flooding will occur this weekend to next week.  The smaller streams will crest first, then the larger branches (larger creeks, rivers) with time.

This is going to be a large, historic flood from Quebec to Oklahoma.  The extent of +4" is extremely widespread.

An ice storm will occur in northern New England to eastern Quebec & also from Missouri to Wisconsin.  +0.30" ice may accrete in northern Illinois (some areas 1-2" of sleet, too) & a band of +6" will occur just west & northwest of that ice storm.

Temperatures will fall here Saturday & periodic rainfall will end as some icy mix to snow.  It will change to freezing rain first in our far northern & northwestern tier on Saturday, then slowly work southeastward.

A trace of ice (freezing rain/sleet) is possible with less than 1" of snow, mainly over our northwestern areas.

We will monitor.

Strong winds Saturday evening-night may gust 40-50 mph (some areas +50 mph).

Given very wet ground conditions, some trees may uproot, leading to a few localized power outages.

Temperatures will drop into the 20s.

Sunday should calm down greatly with winds becoming light & more sunshine developing.  Mild weather should dominate Monday to part of Wednesday.

Howling winds of 40-50 mph are possible late Wednesday-Wednesday night with tanking temperatures.  Some rain to some scattered snow showers are possible Wednesday as that Arctic front cuts through.

Extremely cold air will be brewing with lows to -50 in southwestern Canada & potentially record cold to coastal British Columbia 7 Washington State.  Seattle may see highs only near 26 with snow next week.  Usually temperate Vancouver may only reach 19 mid-next week for a high.  -40 may occur in Minnesota & -20 in Iowa.  -55 is possible in Montana.

Meanwhile, the deep Southeast will be immune due to very strong upper ridge.  Big extremes!

Southeast ridge may prop up the cold to keep us from completely crashing to -20 (even without snow cover).

Thursday looks bright, but breezy & bitterly cold with temperatures potentially falling some in the afternoon to near 11 with lows near 4 Thursday night.

We will need to watch potential of some ice & snow next Friday-Saturday as system develops over Texas & solid lifting of warm moist air occur north of developing warm front to our south.

Lafayette
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Kokomo
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Rensselaer
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Lafayette
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Danville
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Frankfort
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Frankfort
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Monticello
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Monticello
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Logansport
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Warmest weather since December is ahead with good timing with the weekend rainfall...
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