Wednesday looks like the coldest day since December 18 with highs 28-33. It will be blustery early & with temperatuers 18-25, wind chills will run 4-11.
The day looks bright with winds diminishing.
Howling winds, warming & increasing clouds Thursday will give way to PM showers. Increasing showers with even an isolated rumble of thunder are likely Thursday night.
Gusts of 40-50 mph are likely with a few isolated gusts +50 mph from the south-southwest. It will still be windy with gusts to 45 mph Thursday night to Friday.
Periodic rain Friday with highs of 53-59 will give way to the heaviest rainfall late Friday night-early Saturday morning.
Isolated thunder/lightning is possible.
Substantial ponding in fields & on roads & streets will occur area-wide between 12 a.m. & 7 a.m. with substantial to significant rises in creeks & streams.
2-3" of rainfall is likely area-wide Thursday-Saturday night.
Potential is there for band to become established over the area with 3-5" amounts, but I am NOT 100% going with that yet.
We will need to monitor that very closely. If the band does do such a thing in our area, a more significant flooding scenario may develop.
Some data does have widespread +3" amounts for the area.
Latest model ensembles project Major river flooding at multiple sites in northwestern Ohio & eastern Indiana & over southern Illinois from upcoming rainfall.
Minor to Moderate flooding is projected in the viewing area at the present time on the Wabash, Eel, Iroqouis & Tippecanoe Rivers. This is just a model ensemble.....readings may reach higher levels, but this data is figuring current soil moisture & river levels with projected median rainfall. More rain falls, higher levels on rivers.
Rain should change to icy mix & then snow before ending northwest to southeast Saturday PM to Saturday night.
Some minor ice & snowfall accumulations are possible, especially over our northwestern counties.
More high winds are likely Saturday night with gusts 40-50 mph possible (from the northwest).
We go complete winter mode next week with high wind event(s) possible Tuesday-Wednesday night.
Bitterly cold air will race in.