January 4, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is a look at the trends beyond next week, based on the latest forecast data & analysis.

Posted: Jan 4, 2019 9:24 PM
Updated: Jan 4, 2019 10:56 PM

Today was nice & mild at 45-50, but no where near the record highs of the low to upper 60s in 1997 (West Lafayette 66).

I knew I should have put more stock into 2009-10 than 2002-03 winter analogs. 

2009-10 was a sandwich winter with cold fall (coldest October since 1987) & rough onset of winter, then mid-winter break with 60 & t'storms (with multiple 40 & 50s days & sunshine), followed by an intense second half.  The very cold weather even brought frost quakes & a Blizzard Warning to our northwestern counties twice.  The winter broke in mid-March as piles of drifted snow were at the edges of fields (even on a day in the 60s).  I distinctly remember taking a picture of the last vestiges of drifts melting north of the Purdue Research Park (before Walt's Pub & other businesses were built) back in March 2010.  I cannot locate this images, however.

I still think the stair step downward to much colder, snowier weather will get underway, beginning mid next week.

Mid January onward thinking colder weather will begin to become more consistene twith waves of colder air of longer duration between temperatures that attempt to warm up.

Late January to early February looks ROUGH right now.

Watch the pattern changes with the cold, cold air lobes dropping southward one after the other around mid-January & onward to late January.

Shots of cold, cold air will continues to work through late January through the first week of February.

Some of the cold could be intense with multiple nights well below zero as widespread snow cover is laid down.

Projected snow depth January 15:

Projected snow depth February 4 (Note how far south the snow cover is.................I don't doubt snow cover DEEP into the southern U.S., but I am not sold on 12-20" on the ground from Texas & Oklahoma to Arkansas....................I think higher totals are more likely here like +7" with more heavy icing down there):

Projected January 31 temperature anomalies (would equal temperatures around -1 here at 6 p.m. & -17 in northern Illinois)

This projection shows morning temperature around January 30 around 40 degrees below normal.  This would equate to a low around -22.

The players are on the table & the analog shows that this is.

Pattern for cold & snow will continue right through the first week of February.  This is a temperature projection for February 4.

The temperature may warm a bit after this cold wave, but it makes sense that additional lobes of bitterly cold air will pass mid to late February. 

Analog suggests peak in snow depth for the winter in mid to late February.

Several snows (couple significant) & big Nor'Easters (think one could be a BIG one for the Northeast with +30" amounts) are on the table mid-January to late February.

Below normal temperatures with snowfall potential will likely roll into March.

West Lafayette
Clear
68° wxIcon
Hi: 85° Lo: 61°
Feels Like: 68°
Kokomo
82° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 91°
Rensselaer
Clear
64° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 64°
Fowler
Clear
64° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 64°
Williamsport
Clear
67° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 61°
Feels Like: 67°
Crawfordsville
Clear
65° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 62°
Feels Like: 65°
Frankfort
Clear
65° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 60°
Feels Like: 65°
Delphi
Broken Clouds
85° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 95°
Monticello
Broken Clouds
85° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 95°
Logansport
Clear
64° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 64°
Active Weather Pattern for the Work Week.
WLFI Radar
WLFI Temps
WLFI Planner

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 74328

Reported Deaths: 3041
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion15860725
Lake7570275
Elkhart484384
Allen3902163
St. Joseph350081
Hamilton2763104
Vanderburgh196313
Hendricks1887108
Cass17959
Johnson1757118
Porter131639
Clark123347
Tippecanoe121111
Madison97965
LaPorte91130
Howard89065
Kosciusko85212
Bartholomew79347
Marshall78422
Floyd77946
Monroe75630
Delaware73052
Dubois69612
Boone67846
Noble67829
Hancock66038
Vigo65110
Jackson5865
Warrick58130
LaGrange55910
Shelby55327
Grant52630
Dearborn50828
Morgan47634
Clinton4343
Henry38320
Wayne37710
White36910
Montgomery35421
Lawrence34627
Harrison33823
Decatur33732
Putnam2888
Miami2742
Daviess27320
Scott26810
Greene25034
Jasper2432
Franklin24214
DeKalb2324
Gibson2254
Jennings22512
Steuben2103
Ripley2087
Carroll1912
Fayette1897
Perry18612
Starke1787
Orange17124
Posey1710
Wabash1693
Fulton1682
Wells1682
Jefferson1632
Knox1540
Whitley1526
Washington1401
Tipton13810
Spencer1363
Sullivan1261
Huntington1223
Randolph1224
Clay1215
Newton11810
Adams1012
Jay910
Owen901
Pulaski831
Rush804
Fountain742
Brown731
Ohio655
Blackford642
Benton610
Pike530
Switzerland520
Vermillion520
Parke511
Crawford450
Martin450
Union410
Warren221
Unassigned0206

COVID-19 Important links and resources

As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your family safe. CLICK HERE

Closings related to the prevention of the COVID-19 can be found on our Closings page.

Community Events