January 31, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your latest update on the forecast & then trends of what is shaping up for 2020-22.

Posted: Jan 31, 2020 3:53 PM
Updated: Jan 31, 2020 6:28 PM

After very minor accumulating snowfall this morning (I measured 0.3" of "cat track" snow) with amounts reported up to 0.6", we are overcast this afternoon with a few spits of drizzle here & there.

Highs today ran 36-40.

Some patchy light drizzle/freezing drizzle with some light fog is possible tonight, followed by a few snow showers tonight-Saturday morning, then a few spotty rain & snow showers Saturday afternoon.

It looks mostly cloudy to cloudy Saturday with highs 36-43 with winds picking up from the southwest at 15-25 mph.

Some patches of light drizzle are possible Saturday night with steady temperatures in the 33-36 range with southwest winds increasing to gusts of 32 mph late. 

Sunday looks spring-like with mostly sunny skies & highs 55-60 with strong southwest gusts 30-40 mph with a few 40-50 mph gusts.

After 40s Sunday night with diminishing winds, highs should reach 55-58 Monday with winds increasing to 30-35 mph gusts possible.  Skies should become cloudy in the afternoon with rain by late evening.

The change in the forecast is rather than one round of precipitation with rain to ice to snow with sudden blast of cold, cold air, it appears that THREE rounds of precipitation will occur Monday evening to Wednesday.

Rather than just system being in & out & a blast, the cold air is held back a hair & moderates some, then undercuts fronts slowly.

A total of 0.75-1.10" liquid is possible here Monday-Wednesday. 

Another big rainfall in the Ohio Valley is likely with 2-6" Maryland & West Virginia, through Kentucky & far southern Indiana & Ohio to as far south as Tennessee.  Flooding is likely.

So...............

ROUND #1:  ALL RAIN (ISOLATED RUMBLE OF THUNDER)............MONDAY EVENING-TUESDAY LATE MORNING

ROUND #2:  RAIN/FREEZING RAIN TO RAIN/FREEZING RAIN/SLEET........TUESDAY EVENING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING

ROUND #3:  FREEZING RAIN/SLEET TO SNOW......WEDNESDAY LATE AFTERNOON-NIGHT

Some minor accumulations of ice & snow are possible Tuesday night-Wednesday night.

With a few flurries, temperatures quickly moderate at the end of next week to normal levels.

Overall mean temperature anomaly trend February-March:

At least there is a signature of above-normal temperatures for a period in late March amidst a colder March overall.

Trend continued towards wetter than normal pattern February to March:

February-March-April 2020 still trends toward above normal precipitation:

February-March-April 2020 temperature trend is slightly-below normal overall.

Trend continues to be for a traditional La Nina to evolve in 2020-21 & peak in 2021-22.

This means earlier springs, drier springs with more timely planting & more in the way of violent severe weather in the Midwest in the spring.

It also spells risk of widespread drought in the southern Plains & southeast U.S. & potential of drought reaching our area with time.

There is a higher occurrence of temperatures in the 90s to 100s in this pattern.  By 2022, it will have been 10 years since our last 100 in the area, so we will be due.

Hurricane frequency may begin to pick up as early as 2020, but especially 2021 & 22 before backing off.  Analog shows a high tendency for an El Nino of equal strength as the likely 2022-23 or 2023-24 after moderate to strong La Nina.

West Lafayette
Clear
77° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 79°
Kokomo
Partly Cloudy
72° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 72°
Rensselaer
Clear
70° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 70°
Fowler
Clear
77° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 79°
Williamsport
Clear
71° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 71°
Crawfordsville
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 72°
Frankfort
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 72°
Delphi
Clear
70° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 70°
Monticello
Clear
70° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 70°
Logansport
Clear
70° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 70°
Once more pleasant day before we see changes with an increase in heat and humidity, and thunderstorm chances.
WLFI Temps
WLFI Planner

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 749835

Reported Deaths: 13752
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1031281779
Lake555181006
Allen41642691
St. Joseph36959564
Hamilton36537416
Elkhart29373459
Tippecanoe22871224
Vanderburgh22544400
Porter19339325
Johnson18412388
Hendricks17594317
Clark13202193
Madison13128344
Vigo12606253
LaPorte12400221
Monroe12175175
Delaware10949198
Howard10270225
Kosciusko9615119
Hancock8556145
Bartholomew8162157
Warrick7854156
Floyd7775180
Grant7230179
Wayne7158201
Boone6922103
Morgan6742141
Dubois6211118
Marshall6208116
Cass5997109
Henry5894108
Dearborn589078
Noble580287
Jackson508774
Shelby500897
Lawrence4735121
Gibson444293
Harrison441073
Clinton440455
DeKalb438985
Montgomery434890
Whitley406042
Huntington402281
Steuben399359
Miami392968
Jasper387054
Knox375790
Putnam372160
Wabash360683
Ripley346570
Adams344955
Jefferson335685
White330853
Daviess3031100
Wells295181
Decatur289992
Greene286685
Fayette284864
Posey273735
LaGrange273072
Scott269955
Clay266048
Washington245034
Randolph244683
Jennings235249
Spencer234231
Starke227858
Fountain219147
Sullivan214043
Owen211258
Fulton202142
Jay200932
Carroll193420
Orange188155
Perry187037
Rush175726
Vermillion174044
Franklin170235
Tipton166046
Parke149016
Pike138134
Blackford136132
Pulaski120347
Newton113036
Brown104043
Crawford102316
Benton101114
Martin91615
Warren83615
Switzerland8108
Union72810
Ohio57811
Unassigned0420

COVID-19 Important links and resources

As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your family safe. CLICK HERE

Closings related to the prevention of the COVID-19 can be found on our Closings page.

Community Events