It has been a warmer-than-normal January, but we are still not in the Top 20 officially (but close). Warmest was 41.4 mean temp in 1880. Records go back to 1879 for West Lafayette. Mean temperature at the Ag Farm is 32, while it is 33.2 at the Purdue Airport & 33.1 at WLFI.
We are also not in top 20 warmest winters on record either. The record warmest is still the 1931-32 winter at 38.8.
After some spits of snow grains, drizzle & freezing drizzle with light fog, we continue to be largely, gray & dreary over the area.
However, a few breaks are occurring in the far southwest.
Just a few spits of drizzle, freezing drizzle & snow grains are possible this evening-tonight, before some snow showers come in late & last into Friday morning (with some patchy fog). Following the snow showers, a few spotty light rain/snow showers are possible.
After lows near 29 tonight, they should reach 35-40 tomorrow.
Any snowfall accumulations tomorrow morning looks brief, rather local & 0.5" or less.
Still, watch for a few slick spots in areas that see the grass whitened or dusted.
Some scattered light rain/snow is possible Saturday as winds kick up from the southwest, then west at 15-30 mph with mostly cloudy to cloudy skies. Highs will run 36-43.
A few patches of light freezing drizzle/drizzle are possible Saturday night as temperatures fall to 32-34, then rise to 34-37 with wind going back to southwest & increasing to 15-25 mph after west winds decrease to 10-15 mph after dusk.
Sunday looks partly cloudy to mostly sunny & windy with highs 51-56 with southwest winds 20-40 mph. Lows will only drop into the 40s Sunday night, followed skies turning overcast Monday with highs 53-58 with southwest winds 20-40 mph.
With sunshine Sunday, the groundhog should see his shadow. This would signal 6 weeks of winter, which does side the model & analog data.
Rain & isolated thunder Monday evening-night should give way to a change-over to freezing rain & sleet, then snow Tuesday-Tuesday night.
Some minor ice/snow accumulation cannot be ruled out.
Winds may gust 30-50 mph at times Monday-Tuesday night.
Wednesday looks sharply colder, followed by sudden warm-up to mid 30s Thursday with sun.
A few snow showers & flurries are possible late Friday of next week as a cold front passes with highs in the 30s, followed by around 30 to the 30s Saturday February 8.
Rain, ice & snow are possible Sunday-Tuesday, February 9-11.
Bitter cold should follow with potential ice & snow in the February 13-15 period.
Here are the overall February-March mean temperature anomalies:
February-March precipitation anomalies:
February-March-April total precipitation is trending above normal:
Trend for February-March-April mean temperatures overall to run below normal: