January 3, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest on how long the nice, dry Pacific air will hang on in our area.

Posted: Jan 3, 2019 5:45 PM
Updated: Jan 3, 2019 6:13 PM

Scenes like this are playing out in Texas & Oklahoma.  This image is from southern Oklahoma, at Lawton, courtesy of Kylie Dogs.

This is an interesting completely split flow pattern.

It is snowing & icing in Texas & Oklahoma & snow has falling as far south as northern Mexico, but it RAINED in southern Saskatchewan & Manitoba this morning.

This roaring polar jet has sinking air on its edge & downsloping winds on the eastern slope of the Rockies.  This is bathing areas from Montana to Iowa to our area in mild weather.

The bitterly cold weather (-30 in Minnesota) around New Years has been pulled west & southwestward & southward.  Frost & freezing occurred into southern California to Arizona to northern Mexico.  The cold continues with the upper low over Oklahoma & Texas with the winter storm. 

So, this roaring jet that is semi-zonal, has split the cold into two pieces with dry, mild weather in-between.  It is a traditional El Nino pattern.  However, there is only a higher-end weak El Nino Modoki is in progress, interestingly.

Dry, mild Pacific air (& air downsloping from the Rockies) will be with us Friday-Sunday.

Some high/mid clouds may dim the sun at times later tomorrow.  Saturday looks mostly sunny.  Sunday will feature high/mid clouds diming the sun with time during the day.  There will be little wind Friday & a breeze to 12 mph Saturday, but a light wind Sunday.

Cloudy skies & rain with gusty winds from the southwest will dominate Monday with 50s.

Partly cloudy skies with 40s Tuesday will give way to mostly sunny, colder conditions Wednesday.  Thursday will feature increasing clouds & highs back to the 40s.

Normal high is 31-35 over the viewing area for the time of year.  Normal lows are 15-20.

Rain is likely next Friday with 40s to 50.  A stair step downward to colder weather is ahead mid January & beyond.

Tonight, I will dig into what is up with the longer-range pattern, what is behind the mildness again & what to expect mid-January to March.

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