January 29, 4:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

13 Main Points About the Winter Weather Ahead...

Posted: Jan 29, 2021 4:15 PM
Updated: Jan 29, 2021 4:38 PM

Keep in mind that even a 20-30 mile deviation in track will change these totals.  There as been a bit of a southward shift.  We will monitor for any slight shifts farther south or northward.

1.  Virga (precipitation drying up on the way down) Saturday AM-early afternoon

2.  Rain/sleet/snow at start, but evaporative cooling gets temps to go from 35-41 to 31-33 rather rapidly.

3.  Quickly to moderate to heavy snow like a bull out of the gate with rapid accumulation....even on roadways (given snowfall rates).  Rates of 1-2" per hour are possible at times.

4.  Heaviest snowfall rates 6 pm-1 am

5.  Heavy, wet, gloppy snow that will be very heavy to shovel.  Be extremely careful shoveling.  This is "heart attack" snowfall.

6.  Southeast winds gusting to 35 mph combined with heavy, wet, adhesive nature of the snow will result in a few branches to break.

7.  A few isolated power outages are possible due to shear snow weight, especially in areas that see more than 5".

8.  Change-over to rain/snow mix & rain is expected to occur from southwest to northeast Saturday night, however, it may be very sporadic for a while with heavy snow going to rain/snow to rain back to heavy snow as the battle between the evaporative & dynamic cooling is trying to be overcome by the advection of warmer air from the south-southeast.

9.  Winds may still gust to 35 mph late Saturday night to Sunday, but direction will change from south-southeast to east to northeast to north to north-northwest with time.

10.  Rain & rain/snow mix should be dominate early Sunday through Sunday midday as temperatures warm back to 33-40.  This will result in an absolute slushy mess.  HOWEVER, there are signs that our far north & northeast may remains as ALL wet snow for the duration of the storm, resulting in +8".

11.  Rain should change to periodic snow late Sunday & late through Sunday night.  Some scattered show showers & flurries may occur into Monday.  Total additional accumulation should run 1" or less.

12.  With temeperatures falling into the mid to upper 20s Sunday night-early Monday, freezing of slush, water will result in slick areas on roads.

13.  Monday's highs should reach 30-35 with much improvement in any roadways.

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Some more needed rainfall with real taste of Fall weather...
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