A review of snowfall totals Saturday shows much of the area receiving 1-2", but there were a few locations that did not quite reach 1" & a few that received more than 2".
Snowfall totals from Saturday:
2.5" 1 NW Morocco
2.2" Earl Park
1.8" 3 W West Lafayette
1.7" Northeast Lafayette
1.6" 2 N Frankfort
1.5" 5 E Attica
1.1" 6 NW West Lafayette
1.0" 2 SE Kokomo
0.9" 6 SE Crawfordsville
0.9" 1 SW Pence
0.5" 3 S Rensselaer
A few isolated flurries/sprinkles are possible late today with highs near 36 & a west wind 10-20 mph. Much of the area will be mostly cloudy to cloudy, but an area of clearing is noted in central Illinois & along & south of I-70. HOPEFULLY, we can take some of this clearing northward. Models are not optimistic at all, but I think it is possible that some erosion in the low clouds for some sun could reach the southern half of the viewing area (perhaps for at least a little bit).
Re-freezing will occur tonight with lows near 27.
A large area of dense freezing fog may occur tonight-tomorrow morning from Iowa & Missouri to central Illinois. It does not look to reach our area, but we will monitor.
Some isolated to spotty snow will occur at times Monday-Thursday with highs near 36 & lows near 29. Skies look mostly cloudy to cloudy each day with light winds.
Any snowfall accumulation at any point currently looks localized & confined to a dusting to coating. Nonetheless, a few slick spots may arise, mainly at night & in the morning hours.
Currently, a bit more widespread precipitation looks to occur Friday morning with some very minor snowfall accumulation. Lows look drop to around 31.
It should melt quickly with highs on Friday near 38 with continued mostly cloudy to cloudy skies.
Some rain to snow with some accumulation is possible next weekend. After 40 to the 40s part of Saturday, we should drop into the 20s & 30s pretty quickly.
It also looks to become windy with northwest winds gusting to 35 mph.
A very sudden, quick, windy warm-up with some rain may follow.
Much colder air should follow with lows dropping to the single digits with some accumulating snow possible around February 4 & February 9-10.
Below zero to way below zero (-20?) is still possible in February on an occasion or possible two. Still signs of possible Polar Vortex plunge, but MJO never really reaches its best cold, cold phases, but it may not be one of the main players on the court ahead.
When will the biggest snow of the winter occur? Well, it is tough to say. Common sense would tell you March when cold anomalies & deepest moisture line up the best, but I would not rule out February. We will see! It is part of the fun figuring this out. The more the challenging outlook, the more the fun.
It is like playing chess with Mother Nature & trying to figure out her next move & moves after that based on the evidence on the board. It can be like Poker too. Sometimes she has a Poker face & I am perplexed as to what her drivers are & trying to figure out what she will deal me as a climatologist.
February 2020 overall projected temperature anomalies (colder than normal):
February 2020 projected overall precipitation anomalies (near normal to slightly-below normal precipitation):
March 1-8, 2020 projected temperature anomalies (colder than normal):
March 1-8, 2020 projected precipitation anomalies (slightly drier than normal):
March 2020 projected overall temperature anomalies (colder than normal):
March 2020 overall projected precipitation anomalies (wetter & snowier than normal):