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January 19, 3:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest update regarding the next 1.5 months of weather forecasts & trends.

Posted: Jan 19, 2020 11:35 AM
Updated: Jan 19, 2020 2:20 PM

After up to 1.5" & 0.1" ice (before melting) in the viewing area, up to 1.40" liquid, widespread gusts of 40-50 mph were recorded with a few isolated gusts +50 mph.  Local dustings of snow followed with near flash freezing.  Wind chills this morning were as low as -20 with actual air temperatures dropping to as low as 3.  

We have had an impressive blizzard Iowa to the Dakotas with temperatures below 0 & gusts to 65 mph!  It was a white-out from the Dakotas to central Iowa yesterday.

Here is an image from a DOT cam in far southwestern Minnesota from 9 a.m. this morning:

Certainly a pretty wild 36 hours of weather.

Peak measured gusts in our viewing area:

56 mph Athens

51 mph 3 E Fowler

50 mph 5 NE Michigantown, 4 SE Covington; 3 W West Lafayette

49 mph Kentland..48 mph Morocco, 3 E Attica, Kokomo

47 mph Purdue University Airport, 2 W Rochester, 5 NE Rensselaer

46 mph Grissom ARB

45 mph 5 NE Monon, Rensselaer-Jasper County Airport, Logansport-Cass County Airport, Frankfort Municipal AIrport, Round Grove, 2 SW Rossville

44 mph Waynetown, Rochester-Fulton County Airport

43 mph Galveston Airport, 3 N Rensselaer, 2 W Crawfordsdville, 3 ESE New Market

42 mph Flora Municipal Airport, Darlington

41 mph Peru, Monticello-White County Airport, Crawfordsville, 6 W Delphi, SE Lafayette

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We have seen 5-12" of snowfall for the 2019-20 snow season (fall-winter-spring) so far.

After a robust start, the lack of snowfall since Christmas has caused us to drop to 60-80% of normal.

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Some lake effect snow showers & flurries are possible today-tonight.  Local dusting to coating is possible, especially in the north.

The wind will not be as bad as it has been, but gusts to 25 mph are still possible from the north tonight.

With temperatures near 6, wind chills will drop to -11.

Lake effect along with a weak short wave may trigger some snow showers & flurries Monday PM.

Local dustings to coating are possible late Monday-Monday night.

North winds will run 10-20 mph with highs in the 20s.  Wind chills should run in the single digits.

Given the strenght of the cold & the high water on creeks & streams, some localized ice jamming may develop.  Best chance of ice jamming on a more substantial river would be the Kankakee.

After any early flurries Tuesday, surface high dominates with sunshine, lack of much wind with cold highs in the 20s.

Icy mix to rain to snow is likely Thursday night, through Friday to Friday night.

Some models lean more toward more snow than rain, others more rain than snow.  Some have ALL SNOW with significant accumulations.  Storm track will be key.  We will monitor.

Highs will run 30s/40s.

Gusty east to southeast winds will occur with it, then north to northwest gusts to 40 mph on the back side Friday night to Saturday.

GEM model:

GEFS model ensemble precipitation types with systems (shows you 25 of the most likely scenarios):

Overall temperature trend is below normal well into February with above normal snowfall, but overall below normal precipitation.

January 25-February 1 mean temperature anomalies:

February 9-February 16 mean temperature anomalies:

February 16-23 mean temperature anomalies:

February 23-March 1 mean temperature anomalies:

March 2020 mean temperature anomalies (March is trending overall cooler & wetter & snowier than normal):

April averages out near normal temperature-wise:

April is shaping up wetter than normal.

May is cooler & wetter than normal overall:

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Overcast
25° wxIcon
Hi: 32° Lo: 19°
Feels Like: 14°
Kokomo
Overcast
25° wxIcon
Hi: 29° Lo: 17°
Feels Like: 10°
Rensselaer
Overcast
25° wxIcon
Hi: 31° Lo: 18°
Feels Like: 17°
Fowler
Overcast
25° wxIcon
Hi: 31° Lo: 19°
Feels Like: 17°
Williamsport
Overcast
27° wxIcon
Hi: 31° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 27°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
24° wxIcon
Hi: 32° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 8°
Frankfort
Overcast
27° wxIcon
Hi: 32° Lo: 19°
Feels Like: 15°
Delphi
Overcast
24° wxIcon
Hi: 32° Lo: 19°
Feels Like: 12°
Monticello
Overcast
24° wxIcon
Hi: 32° Lo: 18°
Feels Like: 12°
Logansport
Overcast
25° wxIcon
Hi: 29° Lo: 18°
Feels Like: 15°
Colder with Blowing & Drifting Snow Tonight
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