January 11, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest low-down on the weather ahead.

Posted: Jan 11, 2021 2:00 PM
Updated: Jan 11, 2021 11:45 PM

Strong inversion or warm, dry lid kept the damp, moisture-laiden cold trapped in here today.  I'm surprised we did not have a freezing fog deck locked in today.  The cloud deck was only about 1500' up.  We even had a few snow grains, like yesterday.  This morning, I know we had some light snow grain dustings on patio furniture, cars & in the crevices of roofs in parts of the area.

This lid kept us like in a refrigerator or freezer today, despite a southwest wind.  Also, there isn't a lot of warm air south of us, given the snow & rain across the Southern Plains & South yesterday & today.  However, there is no real intense cold anywhere north of us either.

As inversion mixes out, we should see more in the way of sun at times over the next couple of days.  Temperatures will warm, but the winds from the southwest should be rather strong, making it feel colder.

Southwest winds will gust +25 mph periodically Tuesday-Thursday.

Some showers are possible Thursday night, followed by a change-over to some snow. 

1" of snow or less is possible Thursday night-Friday morning. 

This could lead to some slick spots on roadways Thursday night-Friday morning.

Winds will be strong from the northwest gusting +35 mph at times.

Temperatures will drop to 27-32 Thursday night & only rise to 29-33 Friday.

Some additional scattered snow showers & flurries & gusty winds are likely Friday.

Periodic snow showers are likely Saturday-Sunday.  Localized accumulations of 1" or less are possible.

We will warm up to 34-40 Monday & then 40s (even 50) by Tuesday-Wednesday next week with strong southwest winds.

Late next week, some rainfall will be followed by some minor snowfall.

A round of minor accumulating snowfall is also possible as the punch of much colder air comes in around January 25-26.  This system looks to have the greatest amount of snowfall of any of them now to mid-February.  However, it does NOT looks like +6" significant snow at this point.  However, there are trends for a couple to a few inches.  We will monitor.

So, this core of the colder air looks delayed.  Looks like it may not get here until just after January 25.  Lows of a bit below zero to around zero are possible with some snow cover after snow event.  It still looks like this could be the coldest air of the winter.  We will monitor.

The colder weather should linger on to around January 30.

It looks like a major warm-up to follow with near/record warmth possible in early February.

The well-above normal temperature could dominate to as late as February 12, then cold snap arrives.

Temperature anomalies show the warm.  It will be weather over parts of the Midwest & Ohio Valley to the South.

It also looks quite a bit wetter than normal with showers & storms with even some severe weather risk as far north as our area in early February.  This could be quite an active period, especially for the southern U.S. & Lower Ohio Valley for some tornadoes.

It appears that near Valentine's Day period could be the time of icing event in the area as front stalls to our south & an extended period of precipitation rides of the front.

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