Isolated Severe Weather Threat Thursday Evening-Night

Some severe weather risk returns to the forecast.

Posted: Aug. 8, 2018 5:12 PM
Updated: Aug. 8, 2018 6:07 PM

A few more spotty showers & t'showers are still possible this evening, especially as outflow boundary from storms to our north pushing through.  This may trigger a few more. 

A couple of isolated landspout funnels are possible along this boundary, even without a shower/t'showers.  They may appear attached to low towering cumulus along the boundary (due to local wind shift along it) with the high humidity.

The best marginal shear/wind fields over the instability for isolated severe weather will be north & northeast of our area.

This will change tomorrow, but not before we see patchy dense fog tonight.  Lows will run in the 60-65 range.

Tomorrow looks dry with sunshine & some clouds & highs near 87 & heat indices near 95.  However, there will be a nice breeze from the southwest at 10-20 mph.  The "dry" will continue until after 5:30 p.m.

A line of storms should pop in the far north & sag south & south-southwestward through 6, 7, 8, 9 to 11 p.m.

Isolated severe weather is possible.  Main threat is wind, but large hail will be a threat early in the storm evolution in our northern tier of counties.

Once this exits, more patchy dense fog should form tomorrow night with lows in the 60s.

This particular model is not handling the line well.  I think it could penetrate well into the area before it gusts out.

Friday, looks some additional showers/storms with perhaps isolated severe threat.  Highs will be in the 80s with high humidity.

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