Here is a quick update after a bit of a hiatus. I wanted to focus strictly on being with my family after working through the holidays, so I took some time away from weather for a while to focus on them & refresh for the second half of the winter. It has been great to be able to do this!
Mid-January pattern change is on cue & with that, the strong winds we have had today (gusts measured up to 45 mph) & that continues into tonight. Some gusts may exceed 45 mph a bit at times tonight.
Highs will only run in the 20s to around 30 tomorrow & Thursday. Lows will run in the teens with even a few single digits tomorrow night. With the strong winds gusting up to 33 mph tomorrow it will feel ROUGH! Wind chills in the teens will occur. Winds will diminish tomorrow night & through Thursday.
Skies will be mostly cloudy tomorrow with a few flurries & snow showers, best chance in the northeast. There will be more sun Thursday.
Clouds will increase Friday.
Accumulating snowfall is likely Friday night-Saturday.
This will be the biggest one of the fall-winter 2018-19 snowfall season so far for parts of the area.
Amounts are dependent on the system's exact track. This will determine the difference between light to moderate & significant amounts. This will become much more apparent in the next day.
A band of 4-8" is likely with the system, but it is unclear exactly where that will set up. Currently analysis suggests this heaviest snowfall will be just southwest & south of the area. I would count on 1-4" right now for the viewing area as a whole, at least. The preliminary track shows lighter amounts currently look to be north & the heavier amounts south. This is subject to change to stay tuned.
Late, late Friday night to Sunday morning, count on potentially adverse driving conditions with the worst of it Saturday.
Sunday to next Wednesday look dry with highs in the 20s & 30s & lows in the teens to 20s.
Some snow is possible at the end of next week.
Stair step downward to Arctic cold will continue as we get into late January. Bitterly cold weather with multiple overnight well-below zero are on the table.
Multiple snows are likely.
This should all bottom out in February with the cold & snow.