Final Fall-Winter Outlook........& Outlook for Spring-Summer

Here is the 2018-19 Fall-Winter..........Spring-Summer 2019 Outlooks

Posted: Nov 1, 2018 10:35 PM
Updated: Nov 2, 2018 9:31 PM

October temperatures ended up near normal after a warm first part, then a much colder last part with a temperature rally just before Halloween.

It was the first October that was not more than 0.5 degree above normal since 2014.  For the U.S. as a whole, it was the coldest October since 2009.

Rainfall was above normal.

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Now on to the November, then Winter 2018-19 & even Spring-Summer 2019 outlook:

Factors of the forecast (in combination with low solar output).

For spring-summer, I took the spring-summers following these Modoki events in low solar situations.

30-40" of snowfall looks reasonable for the snow season that runs late fall to spring.  I would not be surprised to see some isolated +40" amounts.

November

Colder than normal

Precipitation above normal

Normal snowfall

December

Here, colder than normal

Precipitation near normal

Snowfall above normal

January

Colder & drier than normal

Snowfall above normal

February

Colder & drier than normal

Snowfall above normal

Winter 2018-19 (December-February)

Colder than normal

Below normal precipitation

Above normal snowfall

March

Colder than normal

Drier than normal

April

Flash spring with suddenly much warmer weather after cold start making April warmer than normal

Slightly wetter than normal

May

Warmer than normal with flash summer

Drier than normal

Spring

Warmer than normal due to much warmer weather in mid April through May.

Below normal rainfall due to especially drier weather in May

June

Cooler than normal

Wetter to much wetter than normal

Stormier than normal

July

Slightly warmer than normal

Stormier than normal

Wetter to much wetter than normal

Slightly cooler than normal

Slightly drier than normal

Summer

Slightly cooler than normal

Wetter than normal

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