February 7-8, 2019 Brief Storm Summary:
Widespread streams & river flooding occurred with ponding of lawns & fields. The worst was in Montgomery County were Areal Flood Warning remained for the southeastern part of the county as of late February 8.
Rainfall totals of 0.50-2.5" occurred in the viewing area.
Highs in the 50s to 60 dropped to single digits to mid teens by the early morning hours of February 8.
Wind gusts were measured as high as 55 mph.
Now the outlook:
It is an active forecast Sunday-Friday.......................& beyond!
Now on to the details (see below)..........
Clipper & Texas system will merge to form one main storm system that will bring snow & potentially some ice to the area Sunday.
There has been some snow & ice into northern Mexico today & ice has occurred near Houston as Arctic air flows deep into Texas.
1-3" of snow seems reasonable with the event Sunday midday to evening. However, if more sleet & freezing rain occurs than currently expected, then these amounts could be cut quite a bit, especially in the southern half.
Heaviest 4-9" amounts will occur northwest of our area.
Powerhouse storm will pass Monday PM to Tuesday night.
Precipitation may begin as brief freezing rain, sleet & snow, before going to all rain.
Rain shoudl then go to brief freezing rain/sleet, then all snow with HOWLING winds Tuesday afternoon-evening as temperatures fall quickly from 40 to the 20s.
This bears CLOSE watching. Accumulating snowfall with tanking temperatures & wind gusts 45-53 mph are possible during the commute Tuesday (based on the latest analysis).
Much could change, but given risk of 1-2" snow & wind like that with a rapid freeze up, big impacts are possible.
The storm will be so strong & deep that the warmth will wrap around the center & the cold air will come in from the southwest underneath it. So, the far southwestern counties will see the changeover from rain to brief ice to snow Tuesday first (oddly).
9 states from Nebraska & Kansas to Michigan (even parts of Missouri & northwestern Illinois) may experience sustained blizzard conditions with this storm. The surface air pressure could drop to 990 mb near Chicago by Tuesday evening, which is impressive deepening!
A foot snow snow could fall from Iowa to Wisconsin.
Potential is there for a similar storm Thursday-Friday with rain to ice to snow here & high winds! Sunday-Friday of next week will feature quite a bit of impactful weather!
Another blizzard could occur from Kansas to Iowa to Wisconsin. Blizzard could even impact parts of Missouri & northwestern Illinois.
Bouts of bitterly cold air & multiple storm systems will continue to impact the air up to February 24.
Although a brief flash spring could occur at the very end of February, the overall trend is for a cold, rather snowy, icy pattern to March 12. After that, things change dramatically for the better!
- February 8, 6 PM: February 7-8 Wind Event, Arctic Blast & Heavy Rainfall........& Weather Forecast Update
- February 8, 1 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 18, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 8, 2 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 7, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 10, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 15, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 19, 4 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 14, 7 PM Weather Forecast Update
- November 25, 4 PM Weather Forecast Update: Significant Storm with Rain, Storms, Wind, Blizzard & Arctic Blast