February 28, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your latest update...

Posted: Feb 28, 2020 3:36 PM
Updated: Feb 28, 2020 6:31 PM

With training snow showers overnight, up to 2.5" fell along I-70 from far eastern Indiana to central Ohio.

Again today, heaviest snowfall is southwest, south & southeast of our area with a couple narrow corridors of 1-2" likely.

Here, local accumulations on trees & grass have occurred today of up to 0.5" in our southwestern half.  We have received a grassy & tree trunk & branch dusting amounting to a trace.  Roads are damp to wet, however here at West Lafayette.

Some snow showers are possible in the southwest into the evening with just a few flurries & spots of light snow elsewhere.

Clearing will ensue with time.

Tonight, with a sky turning clear to mostly clear.  Lows of 0-13 are likely.

They will be variable as pockets will drop to 0-7, while other spots may see 8-13.

A breeze from the west to west-northwest will keep numbers from dropping to widespread 0 to slightly below 0.

However, wind chills tonight may drop to -6 to 7.

We will see a lot of frost, but this breeze will prevent much substantial freezing fog.  Some light freezing fog & haze is possible.

Saturday looks mostly sunny to sunny with highs 34-39.

The wind will increase tomorrow night.  The clouds will increase late.

Temperatures may drop to 21-28 in the evening, then rise to 30-36 by early Sunday morning.

It will cloud up Sunday with late highs of 52-56 expected.

The strong south-southwest winds gusting +30 mph will make it feel colder, however.

Multiple waves of rain (with lulling & dry time in-between) are likely Sunday night-Wednesday morning.

Highs will run in the 50s Monday, but I lowered Tuesday & Wednesday highs into the 40s due to front dropping south a bit.

It will be cold enough north of the front toward far northern Illinois & Indiana for some wet snow.

It appears that the best potential of 1-2" of total rainfall will occur in the southeast half of the viewing area with a bit less totals as you go northwestward.

Flooding rainfall is likely from New England to Texas with the heaviest of the rainfall Kentucky to Tennessee.

Severe weather will also occur in the Lower Mississippi Valley & likely as far east as Georgia with time.

A corridor of ENHANCED RISK still seems possible, given the parameters.

Some MARGINAL RISK may reach as far north as the Lower Ohio Valley.

Colder weather arrives Thursday-Friday with a few isolated rain/snow showers at times.

A brief burp of spring is still possible around March 10 with risk of heavy 1-2.5" rainfall, some t'storms & highs in the 60s.

Daffodils will shoot way up & Snowdrops will blossom.  Silver Maples will burst into bloom quickly, as they are already very swollen.

Western Chorus frogs may begin to emerge from hibernation & begin to call:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzePgnIpUuk

Some MARGINAL RISK of severe weather could reach as far north as Missouri & parts of Illinois.

SLIGHT to ENHANCED RISK parameters show up in the South.

Much colder weather should follow with risk of a random, brief wet snowfall.  Temperatures may drop 20 degrees below normal.

Then, eyes are on the big California storm with flooding, potential MARGINAL RISK of severe weather there & how it will drive very cold, deep upper trough into the West.  A Rockies to Northern Plains blizzard is possible.

Here, a period of impressive warmth is possible with some days in the 70s toward latter March.  A couple nights may see overnight low not dropping below 60.

Big Plains severe weather outbreak could occur with some severe risk getting in here.  Reminds me in some respects to a big warm-up with Plains outbreak in mid-March 1990 or March 1992.

As the system comes through our area, heavy rainfall is possible here (with some of that afformentioned severe risk).

We will monitor.

Temperatures will go way above normal, but note the well-below normal temperatures behind strong storm system.

The Spring Peeper frogs will get in on calling for multiple days during this time:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uhBsNqF7Hkk

The spring burp around March 10, combined with this significant spring surge later, means early plants will get budding & blooming.

Colder, freezing temperatures are likely this latter March warmth.

Temperatures may drop to 20 degrees below normal with even a few flurries.

Pretty cold weather will be with us as we end March & go into early April from the data available right now.

Hopefully our vegetation doesn't get too far advanced.  Based on the current GGD I calculate & how those affect different species, daffodils, crocus & Hyacinths will bloom & Star & Saucer Magnolias should begin to blossom.  Flowering Quince will be in blossom.  Forsynthia may blossom.

Red & Silver Maples will be in blossom.  Weeping Willows may green up.  Sugar Maple buds may swell, but I doubt budding or blossoming.

Tuliptree buds will likely pop open, but leaves will likely not unfurl alot.

Ohio Buckeye buds may swell & begin to open.

Serviceberry buds may swell & begin to crack.

Cool-season lawn grass like Kentucky bluegrass & fescue will green up & Henbit species may green up & begin to flower in their purple & magenta hues.  Chickweed species will begin growth & may begin to flower.  Some dandelions may appear.

Some Dutchman's Breeches & Spring Beauties may begin some emerge in the woods.

This advancing phenology will be more pronounced in the south than north.

Could this cold snap bring a random, late season snow?

I wouldn't rule it out, but it wouldn't last long!

The worry is that some of the first Tree Swallows may arrive in the warm spell & then cold & potential snow hit.

After this cold snap of hard freezes, note the warming in the Plains & western Corn Belt that will overspread our area by around April 5:

This sets the stage for a big warm-up with 70s & lows in the 60 to 60s range after April 6.

This warmth will push Sugar Maple towards some budding & Tuliptree buds to leaf unfurling a bit.  Eastern Redbuds will turn purple magenta.  Pin & Northern Red Oak bud swelling is likely.

First Mayapples will likely emerge with umbrella heads in the woods as our warming units continue to accumulate.

Spring 2020 (March-April-May) overall shows above normal rainfall.

There will be a lot of temperature fluctuation & a some greater severe weather risk compared to the last few springs, but the trend is for colder than normal mean temperatures in the western U.S. & warmer than normal mean temperatures in the eastern U.S.

Summer 2020 (June-July-August).....

CFSv2 model is below for overall summer mean temperature anomalies.

Blending in analog & the European model data, the best potential of below normal temperatures for summer is from the Northern Plains to California with core of it in the Rockies.

Best chance of above normal temperatures is from Eastern Canada to Texas with cores of it in Texas & over New England & eastern Canada.

In terms of Summer 2020 total rainfall, looks like it may be wet early, then get drier with time.

Thoughts are that below normal rainfall will begin to move in after July 10 with some intense heat.

Thinking developing hot Texas to Southeast ridge will expand north & northeastward.

West Lafayette
Clear
74° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 74°
Kokomo
Clear
74° wxIcon
Hi: 77° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 74°
Rensselaer
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 77° Lo: 50°
Feels Like: 73°
Fowler
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 76° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 73°
Williamsport
Clear
70° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 70°
Crawfordsville
Clear
69° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 69°
Frankfort
Clear
74° wxIcon
Hi: 76° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 74°
Delphi
Clear
75° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 75°
Monticello
Clear
75° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 75°
Logansport
Clear
75° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 51°
Feels Like: 75°
Mainly Dry and Warmer Rest of the Week.
WLFI Radar
WLFI Temps
WLFI Planner

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 112626

Reported Deaths: 3520
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion20832759
Lake10292318
Elkhart6415109
St. Joseph6156102
Allen6029200
Hamilton4724109
Vanderburgh344530
Hendricks2673122
Monroe247436
Tippecanoe226913
Johnson2268123
Clark215056
Porter207845
Cass19329
Delaware188261
Vigo178123
Madison159575
LaPorte137739
Floyd131461
Howard128563
Kosciusko120217
Warrick119936
Bartholomew115357
Marshall98924
Dubois95418
Boone95146
Hancock91143
Grant89133
Noble89132
Henry77024
Wayne74414
Jackson7409
Morgan70038
Shelby66529
Daviess64427
Dearborn63228
LaGrange63111
Clinton59212
Harrison56024
Putnam53710
Lawrence50528
Montgomery50521
Knox5019
Gibson4854
White48114
DeKalb45611
Decatur45439
Miami4263
Fayette41813
Greene41835
Jasper3862
Steuben3707
Scott35610
Sullivan33012
Jennings31212
Posey3060
Franklin29925
Clay2935
Orange28524
Ripley2838
Carroll27013
Wabash2618
Washington2611
Starke2537
Whitley2526
Wells2482
Adams2453
Jefferson2443
Fulton2342
Huntington2223
Tipton21722
Spencer2153
Perry21413
Randolph2087
Jay1730
Newton17111
Owen1651
Martin1640
Rush1524
Pike1401
Vermillion1260
Fountain1182
Pulaski1151
Blackford1133
Crawford1030
Brown1023
Parke941
Benton880
Union770
Ohio767
Switzerland700
Warren391
Unassigned0225

COVID-19 Important links and resources

As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your family safe. CLICK HERE

Closings related to the prevention of the COVID-19 can be found on our Closings page.

Community Events