TODAY TO FRIDAY EVENING.................ICING SOUTHWEST OF AREA, BRIEF SLEET/SNOW BITS HERE WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES................
After a few sprinkles of freezing rain this morning, it has been largely a mostly cloudy day. The cold front is coming through now & winds are picking up from the northwest.
It will be a breezy to windy evening with northwest winds 15-25 mph with even some gusts to 30 mph.
With temperatures falling into the lower 20s by late evening, wind chills will drop to near 10.
A period of a few lake effect snow flurries & light snow showers are possible this evening to tonight, mainly in the north half of the area (north of Route 18).
Winds will decrease late tonight to 6-10 mph & turn to the north-northeast.
Note the area of freezing rain southwest of our area (see advisories below).
There are the Winter Weather Advisories up, which may be expanding east & slightly northeastward with time for icing tonight-tomorrow morning.
It would not surprise me if we see a few spits of sleet or a few flakes tomorrow morning as this disturbance passes south of us. We will be right on the northern edge of any of its influence. The best potential of this would be south of Route 26.
Skies will remain mostly cloudy tonight & right through tomorrow with lows in the upper teens to lower 20s tonight & upper 20s to lower 30s tomorrow. We should have overnight lows in the mid 20s & highs in the low to mid 40s this time of year.
After teens to 20 & sunshine Friday morning to Friday afternoon, clouds will then increase with highs 34-40 with a light wind turning to the southeast.
FRIDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY NIGHT....................SNOW POTENTIAL WITH HEAVIEST BAND SETTING UP SOUTH OF OUR AREA.........
The big change to this forecast is the timing of some snow for the weekend.
It appears that there may only be a few scattered snow showers Saturday afternoon-evening with no accumulation & highs in the 30s as northeast winds pick up to gusts of 25 mph.
Much of snow looks to fall Sunday as temperatures fall during the day into the teens with northeast, then north to northwest winds gusting 25-35 mph. Wind chills will drop to the single digits & then to 0 by late in the day, it appears.
Band of heaviest snowfall still looks to stay south of our area. However, minor accumulations are still possible here.
Any snowfall looks to fall mainly in the 7 a.m. to 6 p.m. time frame Sunday, based on the latest data.
SUNDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK..............NEAR/RECORD COLD..............
Bitter cold, the likes not seen for the Lower 48 as a whole in early March since 1978 or 1960, will roar southward. These are actual air temperatures, not wind chills.
Wind chills of -20 to -10 are likely by Monday morning. A few isolated locations in our northwest may see wind chills drop to -25.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK..................STILL COLD WITH POTENTIAL VIGOROUS CLIPPER WITH SNOW...........
We still continue to focus on late next week for accumulating snowfall, as well. Vigorous clipper system is possible with lots of wind & that snowfall around.
If current trends hold, then a band of significant snowfall could occur of +6" somewhere in the viewing area as intense frontagenetical forcing is focused north of a warm front. This front will be the line between near/record cold air for early March & a sudden, brief surge of warmth in the southern Plains to Missouri.
MARCH 10-11 SYSTEM...................CONTINUED BELOW TO WELL-BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES................
Beyond that, there is potential of substantial storm of ice to rain to snow with lots of wind March 10-11.
I wouldn't surprise me if this storm produces significant snow just northwest of our area over northwestern Illinois & Iowa wtih some +8" with high winds.