February 25, 9:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

New data is streaming in. Here is the latest...

Posted: Feb 25, 2020 9:07 PM
Updated: Feb 25, 2020 9:52 PM

We are now 90% snow & 10% rain at the television station on the west side with visibility dropping.  No accumulation yet, though.

On the east side, it is more rain then snow as we look at I-65 & IN 26 exit.

Grassy & elevated surface accumulations have amounted up to 0.5" in our northern counties so far.

Two pieces continue to process of morphing into one single storm system that will strengthen as it progresses to the northeast.

The snow will continue to fill in, congeal & pivot east & northeastward.

Now to early Thursday morning (with winds gusting as high as 40  mph from the north to north-northwest tomorrow-tomorrow night):

Totals by late tomorrow evening with 3" to as much as 5" over much of the area & 5" to as much as 8" in the northeast (5-6" amounts much more common than +6"):

We will continue to monitor Alberta Clipper racing southeastward from Iowa.

It could bring some snow Thursday night-Friday morning.  However, this is dependent upon the track.

System may have a band of 1-2" of snow with it & where it tracks will determine who gets 1" or 2" & who gets 0.5", 0.3" or nothing.

I kept snow showers in the forecast for Thursday night-Friday to account for this clipper, but it is unclear how or if any accumulation will occur.

Another clipper (of weaker, more compact fashion) or little shortwave could bring a wave of snow showers Friday evening-early night before skies clear.

However, track, strength, etc., are unclear.

At this point, it shows signs of 1" or less of accumulation with it.

Due to lack of much cohesiveness with model data & knowing how these little waves behave & stump models, I just kept Friday evening-early night completely snow-free for now.

Brief icy mix late Sunday night should go to periodic rain Monday.

Periodic rain will be with us through Monday night & into Tuesday.

It appears that the heaviest rainfall will occur Tuesday afternoon-evening before it decreases Tuesday night.

That is the trend right now.

The trend is also for 1-2" of rainfall viewing area-wide atop saturated ground from melting snow & recent rainfall.  This will follow a wetter than normal January.  So, rivers, creeks & several streams will likely exceed flood stage.

Potential is there for another big rainfall event from Texas to Arkansas, far southern Illinois, Indiana & Kentucky to southern Ohio & West Virginia, Maryland & southwestern Pennsylvania with 3-6" of rainfall.

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