After highs of 51-56 Sunday & lows of 32-39 this morning (with areas of fog), temperatures are 40-46 as of 2:30 p.m. across the viewing area.
Rain has been confined to two bands in morning: one northwest & one south & southeast with up to 0.20" measured.
The lightest amounts of near a trace have been found in the heart of the viewing area.
Rainfall is overspreading the entire viewing area right now.
It has been all rain across the Midwest so far, but the Winter Storm Watches northwest & west of the area warn of the future snowfall in the region ahead.
There are the Winter Storm Watches in blue. Meanwhile, flooding rainfall is underway in Kansas & Missouri.
Up to 2.50" rain has even fallen in central Kansas, which is rare in such a region in February.
Here periods of rain will be with us through tonight & tomorrow morning.
At times it will taper to just spits & patchy drizzle, other times it will come down moderately.
Winds will be raw, cold & brisk from the east to east-northeast at 8-17 mph.
Lows tonight will run 35-40.
Periods of rain are likely tomorrow with cold east wind turning to the northeast at 15-30 mph.
Highs tomorrow will run 39-44.
Trend continue for rain to change to periods of snow late through Wednesday as temperatures fall from 39-44 to 28-32.
Winds will be strong from the north-northeast to the north at 15-30 mph, then 25-40 mph.
Travel impacts will begin to develop Wednesday, especially later in the day.
Periods of snow is likely Wednesday night with north winds 25-40 mph & lows 14-20.
Winds chill will drop as low as -7 with any snowfall blowing around & travel impacts.
Be aware if you are traveling Wednesday (especially PM) to Wednesday night & early Thursday as icy roads develop & visibility is reduced.
In terms of snowfall accumulation, this is once again a tricky one.
There are some signs that this system may be starting to track a BIT MORE TO THE SOUTH.
If this continues, then we will need to increase current projections of snowfall to HIGHER to MUCH HIGHER totals.
THIS IS PRELIMINARY. PLEASE KEEP CHECKING BACK INTO THE BLOG FREQUENTLY FOR ANY TWEAKS TO THIS FORECAST.
THESE NUMBERS MAY STAY THE SAME, DECREASE OR INCREASE. THEY COULD EVEN INCREASE DRAMATICALLY.
A 50-MILE SHIFT IN THE SYSTEM TO A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN A BIG DIFFERENCE IN SNOWFALL FOR THE VIEWING AREA.
Current forecast is: 1" or less southeast half............1-3" northwest half Wednesday-Wednesday night to Thursday morning.
Snow departs Thursday morning, but note that clipper diving southeastward out of Iowa on Thursday afternoon-evening.
Also, it will turn unseasonably cold for the end of February with highs only in the 20-26 range when normal is 42-46.
Winds will diminish with time after being rather gusty from the northwest in the morning.
Clipper will pass Thursday night-Friday AM, but it is unclear on the exact track, which will determine our snowfall totals.
Right now, I am sticking to "snow showers" for the forecast in that time & will hone in on any total for it as more & more data arrives & we get closer to Thursday.
Highs in the 20s & single-digit lows are possible Friday & into next weekend. There is an outside chance of some below-zero lows.
It appears that snow &/or ice may transition to rain early next week, before ending as snow.
Potential is there for some accumulating snowfall around March 4, especially in the northern part of the area.
A sudden, brief spring is possible around March 9 with highs in the 60s with showers & spring-like t'storms around.
At this point, it appears that 64-69 highs are possible in a 36- to 48-hour spring.
Heavy rainfall is possible at 1-2.5", so rivers & streams may exceed flood stage as this rain falls on wet ground.
Much colder weather should follow with temperatures below to well-below normal.
It would not surprise me if we have a random accumulating snowfall at some point in the March 12-18 time frame.
The last 10 days of March look mild, wet & even stormy, however.
- February 24, 3 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 24, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update
- February 24, 9:15 PM Weather Forecast Update
- August 24, 1 PM Weather Forecast Update
- January 24, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update
- March 24, 7 PM Weather Forecast Update
- April 24, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update
- April 24, 11 p.m. Weather Forecast Update
- May 24, 1 PM Weather Forecast Update
- May 24, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update