NOW TO THURSDAY MORNING:
Highs today reached 39-53.
Despite strong south-southwest winds tonight (15-30 mph), areas of fog are still possible after midnight with very low clouds around. Fog will roll in from the south & develop & roll off the ice-cold ground & snow pack. Such a massive snow melt southwest & south of the area will make for saturated air just full of moisture. Also, that saturated, warmer air (it is in the 60s now in southern Illinois) over the ice-cold ground & snow will cause warm air advection fog to develop.
The very low clouds may depart tomorrow morning, followed by a bank of low clouds migrating southward from the north tomorrow midday-afternoon, turning the area mostly cloudy to cloudy.
After temperatures drop to 33-43 this evening, they should rise to 40-48 tonight, then fall back to 34-42 by early tomorrow morning.
Highs tomorrow will reach 42-50 late morning-midday, then fall to 34-43 by later in the day.
South-southwest winds will turn to the west & northwest tomorrow at 15-30 mph, then 10-20 mph.
Partly to mostly cloudy skies & lows 26-32 tomorrow night will give way to partly cloudy skies Thursday with highs 36-45 north to south.
Areas of freezing fog with heavy frost & patchy black ice are expected Wednesday night-Thursday morning with lows 16-24 (coldest over deepest lingering snow pack). Highs of 37-46 are expected Thursday.
FRIDAY-NEXT MONDAY NIGHT:
As for Friday, skies look partly cloudy with highs 42-49.
I went for increasing clouds Saturday with a few showers late & highs 47-55 with southerly winds.
Showers are possible periodically Sunday with mostly cloudy skies & highs 51-60.
Rain is possible Monday with 54-60, then falling to 42-50 late in the day & 27-32 Monday night.
NEXT TUESDAY-MARCH 6:
Tuesday may see rain begin as freezing rain or mix of freezing rain, sleet & snow for a time before going to rain with highs 35-42.
We will monitor.
Clearing & 20s are expected Tuesday night.
Warmth should follow with strong southerly winds & rain & storms by March 5-6.
1-2" of total liquid is possible Saturday-next Tuesday night. Heaviest rainfall of up to 6" should set up Arkansas to Tennessee.
Highs may reach the 60s for a chunk of the viewing area.
We will monitor severe risk with strong surface low over Iowa pivoting towards Wisconsin with heavy snow in the Dakotas to Minnesota.
Possible MARGINAL RISK as far north as parts of our area with higher risk south of our area.
It still appears the heaviest rainfall will stay south of our area with 3-4" Arkansas to Tennesee & eastern Kentucky.
Flooding issues will become significant well south of our area.
They look minor here at the moment with rivers to flood stage.
MARCH 7-APRIL 3:
Another round of rain & storms is possible March 9-11 with eyes on some severe weather risk. There are some indications of temperatures to the 70s in southern Indiana & as high as 70 here.
Locally-heavy rainfall is also possible.
Multiple warm, wet, severe weather-type system will occur late March to early April with flood risk going up here.
Severe weather risk should go up here as well.
Dormant vegetation will be begin to bud & daffodils to crocuses & tulips go way up.