February 22, 5 PM: Latest On Isolated Severe & Damaging Wind Event Ahead

After risk of an isolated severe storm or two a 16-hour damaging wind event is likely.

Posted: Feb. 22, 2019 3:52 PM
Updated: Feb. 22, 2019 5:09 PM

High Wind Watch is up for damaging winds late Saturday night to early Sunday night for the entire viewing area.

A 16-hour stretch of sustained winds of 25-40 mph with widespread gusts 45-60 mph are likely.  Isolated gusts to 65 mph are possible.

Some power outages & tree damage along with pockets of minor structural damage are likely.

Beware if you will be driving a high-profile vehicle, especially if you will be driving north-south or south-north.

Watch for sudden fallen limbs & trees on area roadways, especially those with curves in wooded areas.  You could suddenly come around a curve & encounter a limb or tree in the roadway.

Secure your outdoor objects, especially trash cans, before Saturday night.  This kind of wind will blow your trash can to at least your neighbor's yard & even down the street.

The Storm Prediction Center has shifted Marginal Risk (isolated severe) southward.  HOWEVER, I still think the potential is there for a couple isolated severe storms with a couple severe gusts or a brief, weak EF0 tornado.

The amount of instability or buoyancy is low & most of it is elevated.  However, given this 10 mb drop in the surface low just off to our northwest & just the overall very strong wind fields in this sheared, kinematic & dynamic environment, I'd like to keep the potential there.

It looks like a low-topped, broken line of showers & storms pivoting & racing through as low will be in pretty rapid deepening phase.  This storm could "bomb" over Michigan with an impressive 24 mb drop in 24 hours.

Such an dynamic environment does not take much CAPE or buoyancy to produce a few severe gusts with showers & storms.

Even without any thunder or lightning, just showers in this line will produce strong to potentially severe gusts.

This would tend to occur in the 7-10 p.m. time frame.

Colder pattern will follow.  Temperatures will average below to well below normal through early March with opportunities for snow & ice as storm track tends to shift southward.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Clear
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Hi: 57° Lo: 44°
Feels Like: 44°
Kokomo
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Rensselaer
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Fowler
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Williamsport
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Crawfordsville
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Frankfort
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Delphi
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Monticello
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Logansport
Broken Clouds
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Showers early Wednesday.
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