February 22, 10 PM Isolated Severe Risk & High Wind Event Update

Here is the latest data regarding impactful weekend weather.

Posted: Feb. 22, 2019 8:55 PM
Updated: Feb. 22, 2019 9:57 PM

Some freezing rain possible with scattered showers increasing to rain & t'storms with time Saturday.

1.  Some scattered showers will arrive late tonight-early tomorrow morning.

2.  Temperatures will run 29-36 over the area.  White, northern Carroll, Cass, Miami, Pulask, Fulton counties may see brief freezing rain showers with temperatures at or below freezing.

3.  Off & on scattered showers will pass over the area through morning, midday & early afternoon (with dry hours in-between).

4.  More widespread rain & embedded storms will overspread the area mid to late afternoon & into the evening hours from southwest to northeast.

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Some isolated severe weather Saturday evening 7-10 p.m.

1.  Couple isolated severe gusts &/or brief EF0 tornado possible.

2.  Looks like a broken line of discrete cells will race through.

3.  CAPE (instability or buoyancy of the air parcels) will be low & rather elevated, but very impressive dynamics & kinematics with near/bombing surface low over northeastern Michigan to Ontario as surface pressure drops from 996 mb in northwest Illinois around 6 p.m. Saturday evening to 972 mb Sunday 6 p.m.

4.  Blizzard Warnings are now up for 5 states from eastern Colorado through Kansas, Nebraska to Iowa & southern Minnesota.  I think Wisconsin & Michigan will eventually be upgraded to Blizzard Warning.

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Damaging high wind event will take place Saturday night 11 p.m.-Sunday 10 p.m. (Worst Sunday 4 a.m.-Sunday 4 p.m.)

1.  Sustained winds will run 25-40 mph with gusts 45-60 mph with isolated 65 mph gusts.

2.  Duration will be 23 hours with the worst of it in a 12-hour time frame.

3.  Intensity & duration will cause power outages & trees & limbs to come down.  Minor structural damage is likely.

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It is a picturesque, classic strong mid-latitude cyclone (or storm system) in modeled infrared satellite data.

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Temperatures will drop all of Sunday, leading to wind chills to around 10 by evening.  Wind chills Sunday night-early Monday will drop to -5 to 4.  Some snow showers & snow flurries are possible Sunday morning to midday.  Some localized light dustings are possible.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Clear
46° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 44°
Feels Like: 44°
Kokomo
Clear
44° wxIcon
Hi: 56° Lo: 43°
Feels Like: 40°
Rensselaer
Clear
45° wxIcon
Hi: 54° Lo: 42°
Feels Like: 40°
Fowler
Clear
45° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 44°
Feels Like: 40°
Williamsport
Clear
48° wxIcon
Hi: 58° Lo: 45°
Feels Like: 44°
Crawfordsville
Clear
45° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 45°
Feels Like: 39°
Frankfort
Clear
48° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 43°
Feels Like: °
Delphi
Clear
45° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 44°
Feels Like: 41°
Monticello
Clear
45° wxIcon
Hi: 56° Lo: 43°
Feels Like: 40°
Logansport
Clear
43° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 42°
Feels Like: 40°
Showers early Wednesday.
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