Some freezing rain possible with scattered showers increasing to rain & t'storms with time Saturday.
1. Some scattered showers will arrive late tonight-early tomorrow morning.
2. Temperatures will run 29-36 over the area. White, northern Carroll, Cass, Miami, Pulask, Fulton counties may see brief freezing rain showers with temperatures at or below freezing.
3. Off & on scattered showers will pass over the area through morning, midday & early afternoon (with dry hours in-between).
4. More widespread rain & embedded storms will overspread the area mid to late afternoon & into the evening hours from southwest to northeast.
Some isolated severe weather Saturday evening 7-10 p.m.
1. Couple isolated severe gusts &/or brief EF0 tornado possible.
2. Looks like a broken line of discrete cells will race through.
3. CAPE (instability or buoyancy of the air parcels) will be low & rather elevated, but very impressive dynamics & kinematics with near/bombing surface low over northeastern Michigan to Ontario as surface pressure drops from 996 mb in northwest Illinois around 6 p.m. Saturday evening to 972 mb Sunday 6 p.m.
4. Blizzard Warnings are now up for 5 states from eastern Colorado through Kansas, Nebraska to Iowa & southern Minnesota. I think Wisconsin & Michigan will eventually be upgraded to Blizzard Warning.
Damaging high wind event will take place Saturday night 11 p.m.-Sunday 10 p.m. (Worst Sunday 4 a.m.-Sunday 4 p.m.)
1. Sustained winds will run 25-40 mph with gusts 45-60 mph with isolated 65 mph gusts.
2. Duration will be 23 hours with the worst of it in a 12-hour time frame.
3. Intensity & duration will cause power outages & trees & limbs to come down. Minor structural damage is likely.
It is a picturesque, classic strong mid-latitude cyclone (or storm system) in modeled infrared satellite data.
Temperatures will drop all of Sunday, leading to wind chills to around 10 by evening. Wind chills Sunday night-early Monday will drop to -5 to 4. Some snow showers & snow flurries are possible Sunday morning to midday. Some localized light dustings are possible.
- February 22, 10 PM Isolated Severe Risk & High Wind Event Update
- February 24, 12 PM Update: High Wind Event Continues
- November 3, 8 PM Weather Forecast Update: More Wind & Rain, Isolated Severe Risk & Yutu's Effects Here
- February 22, 2 PM Weather Update: High Wind Watch Up For Part of Area
- February 21, 4 PM: Rain, Storms, Isolated Severe, Howling Winds & Much Colder Weather
- February 23, 10 PM: Showers, T'Showers (Iso. Severe).....High Winds Late Tonight
- February 6, 2 PM: River & Stream Flooding Developing...Isolated Hail Risk, 47* Temperature Drop, -12* Wind Chill & Accumulating Snowfall Ahead
- February 24, 12:20 PM: Gusty Showers/T'Showers (Iso. Severe) & High Wind Event Arrive 4 a.m. & Onward
- February 11, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update: Snow, High Winds = Rough Travel