Lows this morning ran 17-25 with highs today at 31-37. Some lake effect cloudiness occurred over our northeastern areas this morning. Now, high clouds are streaming in from the southwest & west from developing Plains winter storm.
High & mid clouds will continue to increase this evening & thicken up to mostly cloudy skies for a time overnight, before they decrease toward sunrise.
Lows will run 14-22 (coldest northwest) with wind chills -1 to 11.
However, lake effect cloudiness will begin to move into our northeastern counties tomorrow morning & overspread the northeastern & eastern part of the area.
Some lake effect snow flurries could also occur from this cloudiness.
Looks like a situation tomorrow afternoon of our western & southwestern counties being sunny & the east & northeast being mostly cloudy with a few flakes.
It looks blustery area-wide with north winds 15-25 mph & high only 22-28 (coldest east). Wind chills will run 7-16 even at peak heating.
Tomorrow night should clear quickly in the evening, followed by clear, calm, frosty conditions. Lows of 7-14.
If we had snow pack, it would be much colder.
Friday looks completely sunny & warmer with highs 34-38 with southwest winds 10-20 mph in the afternoon. Wind chills will make it feel a bit colder, however.
Saturday looks good with lots of sunshine & highs 44-49 with southwest winds 15-25 mph.
We are getting a bit better handle on the Sunday-Wednesday weather situation as new data streams in & some better agreement begins to congeal from an analog & model standpoint. I based this forecast heavily on analog analysis.
So................based on the latest analysis.......
Clouds will increase & thicken Sunday, but with a south-southwest wind at 15-30 mph, highs should reach 47-52.
A few showers are possible by evening.
As storm system approaches Sunday night & moves through region Monday, track suggests the wind going to an easterly to southeasterly direction, so it should turn cooler with widespread rainfall.
Heavy, wet snowfall is possible northwest of our region.
Once all of this rainfall pass by late Monday night, our wind should turn to the southwest, so we should warm to 50-55 Tuesday.
Tuesday looks gray & windy with southwest winds 20-35 mph with drizzle & scattered showers.
Sharp cold front should pass early Tuesday morning with band of showers, then snow showers Wednesday with falling temperatures from 31-35 early to 20-26 by early evening.
Some very to minor accumulation is possible.
West-northwest to northwest winds of 20-35 mph are likely.
Heavy, wind-driven snowfall is possible Tuesday-Wednesday northwest of our area with a band of significant accumulation possible.
Much colder weather arrives mid to late next week with temperatures well below normal. However, it does look dry at this point, other than perhaps some lake effect snow showers in our northeastern areas.
From an analog perspective, the extent of below normal temperatures probability February 26-March 3 is impressive.
Right into mid-March, temperatures overall average below normal.
Want warm weather?
The last 8 days of March look warmer than normal!
Precipitation looks near or a bit below normal until after March 20, then precipitation tends to jump above normal.
Spring overall is trending near or slightly above normal temperatures-wise with colder than normal temperatures just northwest of our area & above normal temperatures dominating southwest, south & east of our area.
Spring overall is trending wetter than normal.
At this point, there is still a trend of a hotter than normal summer:
There is also a continued trend toward a drier than normal summer.
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